Arizona
Model Outputs
1994-1995
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1368 (#14) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1274 (#18) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1093 (#51) | HCA +101 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +18.3 (#11) | HCA +3.5 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +15.9 (#18) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.779 (#37) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.936 (#13) | AdjNet +23.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.938 (#14) | AdjNet +23.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.816 (#12) | AdjO 84.8 | AdjD 68.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.708 (#24) | AdjO 82.4 | AdjD 72.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.833 (#18) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.816 (#21) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1240 (#25) | RD 116 | GP 30 |
1995 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994-11-24 | N | Minnesota | L | 70 - 72 |
| 1994-11-26 | N | Oklahoma State | W | 73 - 63 |
| 1994-11-30 | @ | Michigan | W | 78 - 57 |
| 1994-12-06 | vs | Florida State | W | 96 - 78 |
| 1994-12-08 | vs | Houston | W | 81 - 67 |
| 1994-12-12 | vs | La Salle | W | 92 - 76 |
| 1994-12-17 | @ | UTEP | W | 75 - 61 |
| 1994-12-22 | @ | Syracuse | L | 84 - 94 |
| 1994-12-28 | vs | Richmond | W | 95 - 68 |
| 1994-12-29 | vs | Texas Tech | W | 88 - 82 |
| 1995-01-05 | @ | Arizona State | L | 52 - 53 |
| 1995-01-07 | @ | Rhode Island | W | 82 - 67 |
| 1995-01-12 | @ | California | W | 99 - 86 |
| 1995-01-14 | @ | Stanford | W | 89 - 83 |
| 1995-01-19 | vs | UCLA | L | 61 - 71 |
| 1995-01-21 | vs | Southern California | W | 94 - 73 |
| 1995-01-26 | @ | Oregon | W | 97 - 89 |
| 1995-01-28 | @ | Oregon State | W | 111 - 98 |
| 1995-02-02 | vs | Washington State | W | 84 - 76 |
| 1995-02-04 | vs | Washington | W | 91 - 65 |
| 1995-02-09 | vs | Stanford | W | 84 - 73 |
| 1995-02-12 | vs | California | L | 72 - 74 |
| 1995-02-16 | vs | Southern California | W | 89 - 80 |
| 1995-02-19 | vs | UCLA | L | 70 - 72 |
| 1995-02-23 | vs | Oregon State | W | 83 - 69 |
| 1995-02-25 | vs | Oregon | W | 97 - 76 |
| 1995-03-02 | @ | Washington State | W | 114 - 111 |
| 1995-03-04 | @ | Washington | W | 63 - 54 |
| 1995-03-11 | vs | Arizona State | L | 98 - 103 |
| 1995-03-16 | N | Miami (OH) | L | 62 - 71 |
1995 Roster
No roster data available for this season.