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Arizona

Also known as: Arizona Wildcats, Arizona
Program History

Model Outputs

1994-1995
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1368 (#14) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1274 (#18) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +101 elo More โ†’ 1093 (#51) HCA +101 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.5 More โ†’ +18.3 (#11) HCA +3.5
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More โ†’ +15.9 (#18) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.779 (#37) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +23.3 More โ†’ 0.936 (#13) AdjNet +23.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +23.5 More โ†’ 0.938 (#14) AdjNet +23.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 84.8 | AdjD 68.5 More โ†’ 0.816 (#12) AdjO 84.8 | AdjD 68.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 82.4 | AdjD 72.6 More โ†’ 0.708 (#24) AdjO 82.4 | AdjD 72.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.833 (#18) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.816 (#21) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 116 | GP 30 More โ†’ 1240 (#25) RD 116 | GP 30

1995 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
1994-11-24 N Minnesota L 70 - 72
1994-11-26 N Oklahoma State W 73 - 63
1994-11-30 @ Michigan W 78 - 57
1994-12-06 vs Florida State W 96 - 78
1994-12-08 vs Houston W 81 - 67
1994-12-12 vs La Salle W 92 - 76
1994-12-17 @ UTEP W 75 - 61
1994-12-22 @ Syracuse L 84 - 94
1994-12-28 vs Richmond W 95 - 68
1994-12-29 vs Texas Tech W 88 - 82
1995-01-05 @ Arizona State L 52 - 53
1995-01-07 @ Rhode Island W 82 - 67
1995-01-12 @ California W 99 - 86
1995-01-14 @ Stanford W 89 - 83
1995-01-19 vs UCLA L 61 - 71
1995-01-21 vs Southern California W 94 - 73
1995-01-26 @ Oregon W 97 - 89
1995-01-28 @ Oregon State W 111 - 98
1995-02-02 vs Washington State W 84 - 76
1995-02-04 vs Washington W 91 - 65
1995-02-09 vs Stanford W 84 - 73
1995-02-12 vs California L 72 - 74
1995-02-16 vs Southern California W 89 - 80
1995-02-19 vs UCLA L 70 - 72
1995-02-23 vs Oregon State W 83 - 69
1995-02-25 vs Oregon W 97 - 76
1995-03-02 @ Washington State W 114 - 111
1995-03-04 @ Washington W 63 - 54
1995-03-11 vs Arizona State L 98 - 103
1995-03-16 N Miami (OH) L 62 - 71

1995 Roster

No roster data available for this season.