Arizona
Model Outputs
1993-1994
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1505 (#3) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1359 (#6) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1204 (#5) | HCA +119 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +23.6 (#2) | HCA +3.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +24.5 (#1) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.890 (#4) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.965 (#2) | AdjNet +28.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.966 (#2) | AdjNet +28.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.871 (#2) | AdjO 91.4 | AdjD 70.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.825 (#1) | AdjO 86.5 | AdjD 69.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.912 (#2) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.907 (#2) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1372 (#5) | RD 92 | GP 35 |
1994 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1993-11-29 | vs | Baylor | W | 106 - 79 |
| 1993-12-01 | vs | Saint Joseph's | W | 93 - 73 |
| 1993-12-05 | N | Oklahoma State | W | 97 - 84 |
| 1993-12-09 | @ | Utah | W | 88 - 81 |
| 1993-12-14 | vs | New Orleans | W | 80 - 62 |
| 1993-12-18 | @ | Santa Clara | W | 89 - 63 |
| 1993-12-21 | N | Notre Dame | W | 98 - 79 |
| 1993-12-22 | N | Boston College | W | 70 - 65 |
| 1993-12-23 | N | Kentucky | L | 92 - 93 |
| 1993-12-28 | vs | Fordham | W | 111 - 84 |
| 1993-12-29 | vs | Michigan | W | 119 - 95 |
| 1994-01-05 | vs | Arizona State | W | 98 - 81 |
| 1994-01-08 | vs | Marquette | W | 94 - 80 |
| 1994-01-13 | vs | California | L | 93 - 98 |
| 1994-01-15 | vs | Stanford | W | 89 - 72 |
| 1994-01-20 | @ | UCLA | L | 66 - 74 |
| 1994-01-22 | @ | Southern California | W | 83 - 74 |
| 1994-01-27 | vs | Oregon | W | 98 - 86 |
| 1994-01-29 | vs | Oregon State | W | 100 - 56 |
| 1994-02-03 | @ | Washington State | W | 80 - 68 |
| 1994-02-05 | vs | Washington | L | 69 - 74 |
| 1994-02-10 | @ | Stanford | W | 77 - 60 |
| 1994-02-13 | @ | California | W | 96 - 77 |
| 1994-02-17 | vs | Southern California | W | 94 - 61 |
| 1994-02-19 | vs | UCLA | W | 98 - 74 |
| 1994-02-24 | @ | Oregon State | W | 96 - 69 |
| 1994-02-26 | @ | Oregon | W | 75 - 71 |
| 1994-03-03 | vs | Washington | W | 95 - 62 |
| 1994-03-05 | vs | Washington State | W | 85 - 69 |
| 1994-03-12 | @ | Arizona State | L | 87 - 94 |
| 1994-03-18 | N | Loyola (MD) | W | 81 - 55 |
| 1994-03-20 | N | Virginia | W | 71 - 58 |
| 1994-03-24 | N | Louisville | W | 82 - 70 |
| 1994-03-26 | N | Missouri | W | 92 - 72 |
| 1994-04-02 | N | Arkansas | L | 82 - 91 |
1994 Roster
No roster data available for this season.