Arizona State Sun Devils
2013 Team Stats (6 games)
50.7
PPG
62.5
Opp
-11.8
Margin
33.2%
FG%
27.9%
3P%
67.8%
FT%
26.2
RPG
10.3
APG
14.2
TO
-
Est. poss./game
59.4
Adj PPG
54.2
Adj Opp PPG
#98
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2012-2013
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 903 (#218) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 983 (#180) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 921 (#273) | HCA +72 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +6.4 (#95) | HCA +3.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +2.5 (#128) | HCA +2.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.422 (#183) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.768 (#92) | AdjNet +10.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.777 (#92) | AdjNet +10.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.616 (#98) | AdjO 59.4 | AdjD 54.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.462 (#186) | AdjO 56.1 | AdjD 57.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.547 (#140) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.516 (#153) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 931 (#218) | RD 159 | GP 29 |
2013 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012-11-11 | vs | Texas Tech Lady Raiders | L | 49 - 61 |
| 2012-11-18 | @ | UTEP Miners | L | 54 - 60 |
| 2012-11-24 | vs | NC State Wolfpack | L | 68 - 72 |
| 2012-12-01 | vs | Binghamton Bearcats | W | 60 - 35 |
| 2012-12-02 | vs | Dayton Flyers | L | 59 - 65 |
| 2012-12-07 | @ | Providence Friars | W | 67 - 58 |
| 2012-12-09 | @ | Boston College Eagles | W | 68 - 59 |
| 2012-12-12 | vs | San Diego Toreros | W | 72 - 39 |
| 2012-12-22 | vs | Longwood Lancers | W | 62 - 50 |
| 2012-12-30 | vs | Idaho State Bengals | W | 60 - 53 |
| 2013-01-04 | @ | Washington Huskies | L | 74 - 77 |
| 2013-01-06 | @ | Washington State Cougars | L | 65 - 77 |
| 2013-01-11 | vs | Oregon Ducks | W | 60 - 45 |
| 2013-01-13 | vs | Oregon State Beavers | W | 66 - 55 |
| 2013-01-18 | @ | Colorado Buffaloes | L | 43 - 57 |
| 2013-01-20 | @ | Utah Utes | L | 46 - 66 |
| 2013-01-25 | @ | USC Trojans | W | 60 - 53 |
| 2013-01-27 | @ | UCLA Bruins | L | 50 - 54 |
| 2013-02-01 | vs | Washington State Cougars | L | 43 - 54 |
| 2013-02-03 | vs | Washington Huskies | L | 61 - 74 |
| 2013-02-08 | @ | California Golden Bears | L | 53 - 66 |
| 2013-02-10 | @ | Stanford Cardinal | L | 45 - 69 |
| 2013-02-15 | vs | Utah Utes | L | 46 - 54 |
| 2013-02-17 | vs | Colorado Buffaloes | L | 63 - 71 |
| 2013-02-19 | @ | Arizona Wildcats | W | 81 - 77 |
| 2013-02-24 | vs | Arizona Wildcats | W | 59 - 58 |
| 2013-03-01 | vs | UCLA Bruins | L | 50 - 58 |
| 2013-03-03 | vs | USC Trojans | L | 60 - 67 |
| 2013-03-07 | @ | Washington State Cougars | L | 41 - 48 |
2013 Roster
Minutes by Position
Not enough player minute data to plot.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
J. Fulcher
|
NA | 5 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 3.4 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 8.2 | 5.6 | 31 | 26 | 1.2 | 2.4 | 39.0 | 0.0 | 69.2 | 2.53 | 47.7 | 39.0 |
P. Amukamara
|
G | 6 | 0.0 | 8.5 | 4.8 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.5 | 8.5 | -26 | 27 | -1.0 | -1.5 | 41.2 | 26.7 | 100.0 | 1.29 | 47.9 | 45.1 |
M. Pickens
|
NA | 4 | 0.0 | 5.8 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 6.0 | 1.5 | 17 | 26 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 37.5 | 40.0 | 25.0 | 0.55 | 44.6 | 45.8 |
A. Thomas
|
G | 6 | 0.0 | 5.7 | 3.3 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 5.3 | 6.2 | 15 | 26 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 28.1 | 0.0 | 76.2 | 2.47 | 41.2 | 28.1 |
J. Burke
|
C | 6 | 0.0 | 4.7 | 5.3 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 6.3 | 4.3 | -37 | 27 | -1.4 | -2.6 | 28.9 | 11.1 | 41.7 | 0.1 | 32.3 | 30.3 |
A. Hawkins
|
G | 2 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 5.5 | 0.0 | -30 | 27 | -1.1 | -2.7 | 27.3 | 20.0 | 50.0 | 0.46 | 33.7 | 31.8 |
E. Normen
|
G | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | -4.0 | -89 | 27 | -3.3 | -11.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -3.55 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG