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Arizona State Sun Devils

Also known as: Arizona State Sun Devils
Program History

2013 Team Stats (6 games)

50.7
PPG
62.5
Opp
-11.8
Margin
33.2%
FG%
27.9%
3P%
67.8%
FT%
26.2
RPG
10.3
APG
14.2
TO
-
Est. poss./game
59.4
Adj PPG
54.2
Adj Opp PPG
#98
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 903 (#218) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 983 (#180) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +72 elo More โ†’ 921 (#273) HCA +72 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ +6.4 (#95) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More โ†’ +2.5 (#128) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.422 (#183) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +10.4 More โ†’ 0.768 (#92) AdjNet +10.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +10.8 More โ†’ 0.777 (#92) AdjNet +10.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 59.4 | AdjD 54.2 More โ†’ 0.616 (#98) AdjO 59.4 | AdjD 54.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 56.1 | AdjD 57.8 More โ†’ 0.462 (#186) AdjO 56.1 | AdjD 57.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.547 (#140) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.516 (#153) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 159 | GP 29 More โ†’ 931 (#218) RD 159 | GP 29

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-11 vs Texas Tech Lady Raiders L 49 - 61
2012-11-18 @ UTEP Miners L 54 - 60
2012-11-24 vs NC State Wolfpack L 68 - 72
2012-12-01 vs Binghamton Bearcats W 60 - 35
2012-12-02 vs Dayton Flyers L 59 - 65
2012-12-07 @ Providence Friars W 67 - 58
2012-12-09 @ Boston College Eagles W 68 - 59
2012-12-12 vs San Diego Toreros W 72 - 39
2012-12-22 vs Longwood Lancers W 62 - 50
2012-12-30 vs Idaho State Bengals W 60 - 53
2013-01-04 @ Washington Huskies L 74 - 77
2013-01-06 @ Washington State Cougars L 65 - 77
2013-01-11 vs Oregon Ducks W 60 - 45
2013-01-13 vs Oregon State Beavers W 66 - 55
2013-01-18 @ Colorado Buffaloes L 43 - 57
2013-01-20 @ Utah Utes L 46 - 66
2013-01-25 @ USC Trojans W 60 - 53
2013-01-27 @ UCLA Bruins L 50 - 54
2013-02-01 vs Washington State Cougars L 43 - 54
2013-02-03 vs Washington Huskies L 61 - 74
2013-02-08 @ California Golden Bears L 53 - 66
2013-02-10 @ Stanford Cardinal L 45 - 69
2013-02-15 vs Utah Utes L 46 - 54
2013-02-17 vs Colorado Buffaloes L 63 - 71
2013-02-19 @ Arizona Wildcats W 81 - 77
2013-02-24 vs Arizona Wildcats W 59 - 58
2013-03-01 vs UCLA Bruins L 50 - 58
2013-03-03 vs USC Trojans L 60 - 67
2013-03-07 @ Washington State Cougars L 41 - 48

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

Not enough player minute data to plot.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
J. Fulcher J. Fulcher NA 5 0.0 10.0 3.4 0.4 0.8 0.2 1.0 8.2 5.6 31 26 1.2 2.4 39.0 0.0 69.2 2.53 47.7 39.0
P. Amukamara P. Amukamara G 6 0.0 8.5 4.8 2.8 1.8 0.0 1.0 8.5 8.5 -26 27 -1.0 -1.5 41.2 26.7 100.0 1.29 47.9 45.1
M. Pickens M. Pickens NA 4 0.0 5.8 1.8 1.0 1.0 0.5 2.5 6.0 1.5 17 26 0.7 1.3 37.5 40.0 25.0 0.55 44.6 45.8
A. Thomas A. Thomas G 6 0.0 5.7 3.3 2.8 1.0 0.0 1.3 5.3 6.2 15 26 0.6 1.0 28.1 0.0 76.2 2.47 41.2 28.1
J. Burke J. Burke C 6 0.0 4.7 5.3 0.7 0.8 0.5 1.3 6.3 4.3 -37 27 -1.4 -2.6 28.9 11.1 41.7 0.1 32.3 30.3
A. Hawkins A. Hawkins G 2 0.0 4.0 1.0 0.5 1.5 0.0 1.5 5.5 0.0 -30 27 -1.1 -2.7 27.3 20.0 50.0 0.46 33.7 31.8
E. Normen E. Normen G 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 -4.0 -89 27 -3.3 -11.5 0.0 0 0 -3.55 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG