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Arizona State

Also known as: Arizona State Sun Devils, Arizona State
Program History

2022 Team Stats (8 games)

67.1
PPG
67.0
Opp
-1.4
Margin
38.8%
FG%
35.3%
3P%
61.8%
FT%
34.0
RPG
15.6
APG
10.6
TO
80.5
Pace

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1282 (#88) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1346 (#71) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 990 (#452) HCA +115 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 990 (#453) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +30.1 (#95) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More → +19.6 (#78) HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More → -1.6 (#371) HCA +2.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.465 (#66) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -12.1 More → 0.196 (#224) NetEff -12.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +0.6 More → 0.517 (#63) AdjNet +0.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +0.6 More → 0.516 (#63) AdjNet +0.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.9 | AdjD 63.5 More → 0.599 (#129) AdjO 67.9 | AdjD 63.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.4 | AdjD 69.5 More → 0.475 (#355) AdjO 68.4 | AdjD 69.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.815 (#106) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.452 (#351) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.785 (#109) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.448 (#345) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 137 | GP 29 More → 1133 (#118) RD 137 | GP 29
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 2 More → 862 (#549) RD 350 | GP 2

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-11-09 vs Portland Pilots W 76 - 60
2021-11-11 vs UC Riverside Highlanders L 65 - 66
2021-11-15 vs North Florida Ospreys W 72 - 63
2021-11-25 @ Syracuse Orange L 84 - 92
2021-11-26 @ Loyola Chicago Ramblers L 59 - 77
2021-12-01 vs Washington State Cougars L 29 - 51
2021-12-05 @ Oregon Ducks W 69 - 67
2021-12-09 vs Grand Canyon Lopes W 67 - 62
2021-12-14 @ Creighton Bluejays W 58 - 57
2021-12-19 vs San Francisco Dons L 65 - 66
2021-12-30 @ USC Trojans - Preview
2022-01-01 @ UCLA Bruins - Preview
2022-01-02 @ California Golden Bears L 50 - 74
2022-01-05 @ UCLA Bruins - Preview
2022-01-08 vs Arizona Wildcats - Preview
2022-01-15 vs Colorado Buffaloes L 57 - 75
2022-01-17 vs Utah Utes W 64 - 62
2022-01-22 @ Stanford Cardinal L 76 - 79
2022-01-24 @ USC Trojans L 56 - 78
2022-01-29 @ Arizona Wildcats L 56 - 67
2022-02-03 vs USC Trojans L 53 - 58
2022-02-05 vs UCLA Bruins W 87 - 84
2022-02-07 vs Arizona Wildcats L 79 - 91
2022-02-10 @ Washington Huskies L 64 - 87
2022-02-12 @ Washington State Cougars W 58 - 55
2022-02-17 vs Oregon Ducks W 81 - 57
2022-02-19 vs Oregon State Beavers W 73 - 53
2022-02-21 @ UCLA Bruins L 52 - 66
2022-02-24 @ Colorado Buffaloes W 82 - 65
2022-02-26 @ Utah Utes W 63 - 61
2022-03-03 vs California Golden Bears W 71 - 44
2022-03-05 vs Stanford Cardinal W 65 - 56
2022-03-09 vs Stanford Cardinal L 70 - 71

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
J. Graham J. Graham - 11 26.6 12.5 5.4 2.2 0.8 0.6 2.1 8.5 10.9 32 1.1 1.9 43.6 0.0 53.3 1.13 68.6 43.6
DJ Horne DJ Horne - 28 30.2 12.4 2.9 2.0 0.7 0.0 1.5 5.0 11.5 - - - 33.1 35.2 90.0 0.36 121.0 44.6
M. Jackson M. Jackson G 12 29.3 12.0 3.7 4.1 2.4 0.0 2.6 7.8 11.8 -9 -0.3 -0.4 37.6 34.9 73.9 0.78 69.8 49.5
J. Heath J. Heath - 16 30.0 10.1 3.1 1.6 0.8 0.0 1.5 4.7 9.3 42 1.5 2.1 44.0 47.2 90.0 1.21 101.4 55.3
K. Lawrence K. Lawrence F 11 28.9 9.0 6.1 1.4 0.9 0.9 1.7 5.9 10.6 7 0.2 0.3 47.7 0 29.4 0.8 68.3 47.7
J. Delaire J. Delaire - 2 26.0 8.0 5.5 1.5 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 15.0 -93 -2.9 -5.0 0 0 0 -0.43 0 0
M. Bagley M. Bagley - 2 19.0 6.0 4.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 2.5 0.0 9.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.13 0 0
L. Muhammad L. Muhammad - 28 18.6 5.0 2.4 1.2 0.8 0.0 0.8 2.5 6.1 15 0.5 1.0 29.0 19.4 75.0 0.69 95.8 33.3
A. Gaffney A. Gaffney - 28 21.8 4.5 3.6 0.9 0.4 1.3 0.4 1.5 8.6 - - - 38.1 36.0 25.0 0.26 142.8 48.8
E. Boakye E. Boakye F 18 12.8 1.9 3.7 0.3 0.0 1.2 0.8 0.6 5.6 37 1.2 3.6 36.4 0 25.0 0.52 137.1 36.4
J. Neal J. Neal - 28 14.5 1.8 1.9 0.6 0.9 0.2 0.8 0.9 3.7 46 1.5 4.0 23.1 20.0 75.0 0.76 91.9 28.8
John Olmsted John Olmsted - 3 1.3 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 1.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 -0.36 100.0 100.0
C. Ronzone C. Ronzone - 2 1.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
M. Burno M. Burno - 6 1.2 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.5 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
D. Williams D. Williams G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - -43 -1.4 -2.9 - - - 1.71 - -
W. Felton W. Felton C 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
J. Rochelin J. Rochelin G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
S. Beskind S. Beskind G 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -42 -1.4 -9.5 0 0 0 -0.36 0 0
M. Silveira M. Silveira C 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 - - - 0 0 0 1.02 0 0
Y. Harvey Y. Harvey G 1 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 -1.0 -2 -0.1 -0.3 0 0 0 0.12 0 0
Bobby Hurley Bobby Hurley - 5 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG