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Arizona State

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Arizona State Sun Devils, Arizona State
Program History
Coach: Bobby Hurley

2017 Team Stats (9 games)

75.4
PPG
85.6
Opp
-10.1
Margin
43.0%
FG%
36.5%
3P%
76.4%
FT%
30.4
RPG
12.3
APG
9.9
TO
-
Est. poss./game
78.6
Adj PPG
76.3
Adj Opp PPG
#124
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2016-2017
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1017 (#162) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1029 (#146) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +89 elo More → 980 (#199) HCA +89 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.6 More → +3.0 (#118) HCA +2.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More → +3.7 (#111) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.391 (#228) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +5.0 More → 0.640 (#110) AdjNet +5.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +5.0 More → 0.641 (#110) AdjNet +5.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 78.6 | AdjD 76.3 More → 0.551 (#124) AdjO 78.6 | AdjD 76.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 75.1 | AdjD 75.7 More → 0.486 (#177) AdjO 75.1 | AdjD 75.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.551 (#137) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.538 (#148) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 132 | GP 33 More → 1047 (#130) RD 132 | GP 33

2017 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2016-11-11 vs Portland State Vikings W 88 - 70
2016-11-13 vs Cal Poly Mustangs W 96 - 74
2016-11-17 vs Northern Iowa Panthers L 63 - 82
2016-11-18 @ Tulane Green Wave W 80 - 71
2016-11-20 vs Davidson Wildcats L 60 - 68
2016-11-23 vs The Citadel Bulldogs W 127 - 110
2016-11-28 @ Kentucky Wildcats L 69 - 115
2016-12-03 vs UNLV Rebels W 97 - 73
2016-12-06 vs Purdue Boilermakers L 64 - 97
2016-12-10 @ San Diego State Aztecs W 74 - 63
2016-12-17 vs New Mexico State Aggies L 70 - 81
2016-12-20 vs Creighton Bluejays L 85 - 96
2016-12-22 vs Central Arkansas Bears W 98 - 62
2016-12-30 @ Stanford Cardinal W 98 - 93
2017-01-01 @ California Golden Bears L 65 - 81
2017-01-05 vs Colorado Buffaloes W 78 - 77
2017-01-07 vs Utah Utes L 82 - 88
2017-01-12 @ Arizona Wildcats L 75 - 91
2017-01-19 @ UCLA Bruins L 80 - 102
2017-01-22 @ USC Trojans L 79 - 82
2017-01-25 vs Washington Huskies W 86 - 75
2017-01-29 vs Washington State Cougars L 83 - 91
2017-02-02 @ Oregon Ducks L 70 - 71
2017-02-04 @ Oregon State Beavers W 81 - 68
2017-02-08 vs California Golden Bears L 43 - 68
2017-02-11 vs Stanford Cardinal W 75 - 69
2017-02-16 @ Washington Huskies W 83 - 81
2017-02-18 @ Washington State Cougars L 71 - 86
2017-02-23 vs UCLA Bruins L 75 - 87
2017-02-26 vs USC Trojans W 83 - 82
2017-03-04 vs Arizona Wildcats L 60 - 73
2017-03-08 vs Stanford Cardinal W 98 - 88
2017-03-09 @ Oregon Ducks L 57 - 80

2017 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Torian Graham Torian Graham G 24 35.3 17.7 4.2 1.1 0.9 0.4 1.4 10.9 12.0 -44 27 -1.6 -2.1 44.4 38.1 88.0 1.1 77.9 54.6
Tra Holder Tra Holder G 24 36.3 16.2 3.8 3.0 0.8 0.0 1.8 7.3 14.7 -51 27 -1.9 -2.3 44.3 35.4 77.9 0.11 91.0 49.1
Shannon Evans Shannon Evans G 24 36.1 14.4 3.1 4.6 1.2 0.2 1.8 7.6 14.1 -58 27 -2.1 -2.6 37.4 32.2 77.8 0.2 87.2 45.3
Obinna Oleka Obinna Oleka F 24 33.5 13.3 10.3 1.0 1.0 0.8 1.5 6.8 18.1 -75 27 -2.8 -3.7 46.3 26.7 74.3 -0.53 82.7 50.0
Sam Cunliffe Sam Cunliffe G 7 27.1 11.4 5.6 1.6 0.4 0.4 2.1 4.0 13.3 - - - - 39.3 50.0 60.0 - 115.6 50.0
Kodi Justice Kodi Justice G 24 30.7 9.0 2.5 2.2 1.2 0.7 1.8 5.0 9.0 -2 27 -0.1 -0.1 41.2 40.8 80.0 3.64 84.5 53.4
D. Melton D. Melton - 1 18.0 5.0 2.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 9.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Ramon Vila Ramon Vila F 24 11.9 2.3 2.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.8 3.6 28 27 1.0 3.8 60.0 0 80.0 0.97 123.9 60.0
Andre Adams Andre Adams F 11 6.7 1.5 1.5 0.2 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.4 3.1 -35 10 -3.5 -27.2 75.0 0 0.0 -4.97 159.8 75.0
Jethro Tshisumpa Jethro Tshisumpa C 17 6.9 1.2 1.8 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.2 0.7 3.0 -31 20 -1.6 -9.2 33.3 0 50.0 -1.61 81.5 33.3
Austin Witherill Austin Witherill G 11 1.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 -7 12 -0.6 -22.0 0 0 0 -2.38 0 0
Maurice O'Field Maurice O'Field G 4 2.8 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Romaine Jackson Romaine Jackson G 2 1.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 -1.46 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG