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Arizona State

Also known as: Arizona State Sun Devils, Arizona State
Program History

2014 Team Stats (6 games)

68.3
PPG
78.2
Opp
-9.8
Margin
41.3%
FG%
37.3%
3P%
67.6%
FT%
31.5
RPG
12.8
APG
12.3
TO
-
Est. poss./game
76.6
Adj PPG
65.7
Adj Opp PPG
#38
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2013-2014
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1062 (#128) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1178 (#57) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +92 elo More โ†’ 1006 (#164) HCA +92 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ +11.9 (#36) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ +8.2 (#64) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.719 (#50) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +18.3 More โ†’ 0.892 (#34) AdjNet +18.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +18.4 More โ†’ 0.894 (#34) AdjNet +18.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 76.6 | AdjD 65.7 More โ†’ 0.730 (#38) AdjO 76.6 | AdjD 65.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.5 | AdjD 69.6 More โ†’ 0.587 (#81) AdjO 73.5 | AdjD 69.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.723 (#59) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.696 (#69) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 113 | GP 33 More โ†’ 1160 (#68) RD 113 | GP 33

2014 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2013-11-08 vs UMBC Retrievers W 96 - 61
2013-11-12 vs Miami (OH) RedHawks W 90 - 54
2013-11-15 vs Idaho State Bengals W 88 - 60
2013-11-19 @ UNLV Rebels W 86 - 80
2013-11-22 vs Bradley Braves W 70 - 58
2013-11-25 vs Marquette Golden Eagles W 79 - 77
2013-11-28 vs Creighton Bluejays L 60 - 88
2013-11-29 vs Charleston Cougars W 80 - 58
2013-12-01 vs Miami Hurricanes L 57 - 60
2013-12-06 @ DePaul Blue Demons W 78 - 56
2013-12-14 vs Grambling Tigers W 97 - 55
2013-12-21 vs Texas Tech Red Raiders W 76 - 62
2013-12-28 vs UC Irvine Anteaters W 74 - 61
2014-01-02 vs Washington Huskies L 65 - 76
2014-01-05 vs Washington State Cougars W 66 - 47
2014-01-09 @ USC Trojans W 79 - 60
2014-01-12 @ UCLA Bruins L 72 - 87
2014-01-16 @ Arizona Wildcats L 68 - 91
2014-01-23 vs Utah Utes W 79 - 75
2014-01-25 vs Colorado Buffaloes W 72 - 51
2014-01-29 @ California Golden Bears W 89 - 78
2014-02-01 @ Stanford Cardinal L 70 - 76
2014-02-06 vs Oregon State Beavers W 86 - 82
2014-02-08 vs Oregon Ducks W 74 - 72
2014-02-14 vs Arizona Wildcats W 69 - 66
2014-02-19 @ Colorado Buffaloes L 52 - 61
2014-02-23 @ Utah Utes L 63 - 86
2014-02-26 vs Stanford Cardinal W 76 - 64
2014-03-01 vs California Golden Bears W 78 - 60
2014-03-04 @ Oregon Ducks L 78 - 85
2014-03-08 @ Oregon State Beavers L 76 - 78
2014-03-13 vs Stanford Cardinal L 58 - 79
2014-03-20 @ Texas Longhorns L 85 - 87

2014 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jahii Carson Jahii Carson G 26 35.8 19.6 4.0 4.6 0.8 0.0 3.5 6.0 19.5 171 29 5.9 7.2 41.7 40.7 79.0 4.51 138.9 45.2
Jermaine Marshall Jermaine Marshall G 5 31.8 13.4 3.8 1.2 0.4 0.2 1.2 11.0 6.8 114 28 4.1 5.7 43.6 41.4 50.0 -0.73 54.8 54.5
Jordan Bachynski Jordan Bachynski C 26 30.8 12.0 8.4 0.6 0.3 4.1 1.7 3.2 20.5 123 29 4.2 5.9 51.2 0 67.3 1.12 150.2 51.2
Shaquielle McKissic Shaquielle McKissic F 25 28.0 8.2 5.4 2.7 1.2 0.0 0.8 2.4 14.4 96 28 3.4 5.2 45.0 27.8 56.7 1.1 140.7 49.2
Jonathan Gilling Jonathan Gilling F 26 29.2 7.3 4.0 2.9 0.5 0.1 1.3 2.6 11.0 116 29 4.0 6.2 41.8 43.1 55.0 1.56 126.0 58.2
Richie Edwards Richie Edwards F 3 11.3 6.0 1.3 1.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 4.0 4.7 26 14 1.9 12.1 50.0 44.4 66.7 -1.46 67.6 66.7
Bo Barnes Bo Barnes G 20 13.1 4.5 1.9 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.6 1.6 4.9 14 21 0.7 2.1 51.5 52.2 66.7 -0.57 117.6 69.7
Chance Murray Chance Murray G 17 8.7 2.8 1.7 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.9 4.2 93 21 4.4 24.0 40.0 42.9 66.7 2.76 133.2 50.0
Egor Koulechov Egor Koulechov G 3 19.0 2.7 2.7 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.3 3.7 1.3 66 25 2.6 8.1 18.2 0.0 66.7 -1.35 29.3 18.2
Eric Jacobsen Eric Jacobsen F 25 10.9 2.6 2.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.6 4.4 67 28 2.4 10.2 80.0 0 50.0 1.24 175.5 80.0
Sai Tummala Sai Tummala G 12 5.7 2.2 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.0 13 14 0.9 7.6 30.8 20.0 0 -2.5 100.0 38.5
Calaen Robinson Calaen Robinson G 15 5.7 1.6 1.0 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.5 0.5 3.0 50 20 2.5 17.7 62.5 71.4 100.0 1.93 135.1 93.8
Brandan Kearney Brandan Kearney G 4 7.8 0.8 0.8 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.5 1.5 -0.2 -48 14 -3.4 -19.8 16.7 100.0 0 -4.82 25.0 25.0
Jarett Upchurch Jarett Upchurch G 5 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 1 5 0.2 6.2 0 0 0 -1.23 0 0
David Whitmore David Whitmore - 2 1.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG