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Arcadia

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Arcadia
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1114 (#113) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1098 (#129) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1100 (#95) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → +0.3 (#123) HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -1.5 (#371) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.497 (#188) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -7.6 More → 0.295 (#187) AdjNet -7.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -7.9 More → 0.286 (#191) AdjNet -7.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.9 | AdjD 74.5 More → 0.377 (#185) AdjO 68.9 | AdjD 74.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.6 | AdjD 68.8 More → 0.586 (#236) AdjO 72.6 | AdjD 68.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.565 (#342) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.576 (#335) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 99 | GP 21 More → 1140 (#112) RD 99 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 @ Penn St.-Abington W 73 - 59
2025-11-12 vs Gwynedd Mercy W 75 - 55
2025-11-14 vs Wash. & Jeff. L 60 - 62
2025-11-15 @ Widener W 94 - 74
2025-11-19 @ York (PA) L 71 - 77
2025-11-25 vs Immaculata W 85 - 74
2025-12-03 vs Haverford W 75 - 50
2025-12-06 @ Alvernia L 61 - 72
2025-12-14 vs Wilkes L 71 - 73
2025-12-28 @ Saint Joseph's - Incomplete score
2025-12-30 @ Lehman W 75 - 74
2026-01-03 vs Susquehanna W 82 - 76
2026-01-07 vs Delaware Valley L 61 - 63
2026-01-10 @ Stevens - Incomplete score
2026-01-14 @ Misericordia W 82 - 69
2026-01-17 vs Lebanon Valley W 83 - 70
2026-01-21 vs DeSales W 83 - 73
2026-01-24 @ King's (PA) - Incomplete score
2026-01-28 @ FDU-Florham - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 vs Stevens - Incomplete score
2026-02-04 vs Misericordia - Incomplete score
2026-02-09 @ Delaware Valley W 65 - 56
2026-02-11 @ DeSales W 69 - 65
2026-02-14 @ Lebanon Valley W 82 - 72
2026-02-18 vs FDU-Florham L 75 - 78
2026-02-21 vs King's (PA) W 79 - 59
2026-02-25 vs Misericordia L 57 - 58

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jamison Lynam - 23 33.6 18.4 2.9 3.0 1.6 0.1 2.3 14.5 9.2 - - - - 47.4 42.8 77.4 - 58.7 56.3
Nas Johnson - 18 32.0 16.7 3.8 4.1 1.1 0.2 2.6 12.9 10.2 - - - - 42.5 31.6 77.6 - 55.5 50.2
Joshua Okocha - 22 29.3 10.4 7.8 2.0 1.3 0.6 1.2 8.5 12.4 - - - - 41.4 20.8 60.4 - 49.0 44.1
Corey Attivo - 23 27.0 9.2 4.8 0.7 0.6 0.8 1.0 6.7 8.4 - - - - 56.5 29.3 70.3 - 62.3 60.4
Josh Parks - 20 27.5 7.9 5.8 1.5 1.1 0.7 1.0 7.7 8.3 - - - - 38.3 27.4 66.7 - 48.4 46.8
Darius Isaac - 20 14.8 4.4 1.8 1.3 0.8 0.0 0.9 4.0 3.3 - - - - 33.3 28.9 72.4 - 46.9 41.4
Kyndall Crawford - 21 11.4 4.1 3.4 0.6 0.2 0.3 0.6 3.1 5.0 - - - - 56.1 33.3 88.9 - 61.5 59.1
Amyr Walker - 23 16.7 4.0 3.6 1.7 0.6 0.2 1.0 3.4 5.8 - - - - 48.7 8.3 55.2 - 51.2 49.4
Marquis Kubish - 3 1.2 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.7 1.3 - - - - 100.0 0 0.0 - 69.4 100.0
Debarrin Norman - 14 4.8 1.3 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 2.1 - - - - 70.0 0 40.0 - 62.5 70.0
Alex Hermann - 18 8.5 0.8 1.4 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.5 1.1 1.8 - - - - 30.0 12.5 22.2 - 31.3 32.5
Keenan Reiss - 10 2.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.5 0.6 0.0 - - - - 33.3 25.0 50.0 - 46.3 41.7
Jordan Taylor - 13 4.8 0.7 1.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.6 1.3 - - - - 25.0 25.0 100.0 - 46.1 31.2
Cole Willey - 8 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 - - - - 66.7 0.0 0 - 66.7 66.7
Chris Williams - 11 2.8 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 - - - - 40.0 50.0 0 - 60.0 60.0
Tysciere Jackson - 9 1.7 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.7 0.1 - - - - 33.3 0.0 0 - 33.3 33.3
Latrell Bullock - 7 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 - - - - 100.0 100.0 0 - 150.0 150.0
Kahmai Clark - 7 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.3 - - - - 0 0 75.0 - 85.2 0
Tymir Smalls - 6 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 -0.2 - - - - 0.0 0.0 50.0 - 17.4 0.0
Jorden Jones - 8 0.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG