Arcadia
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1146 (#92) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1104 (#141) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1100 (#95) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +1.5 (#179) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -1.5 (#371) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.497 (#473) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.295 (#456) | AdjNet -7.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.286 (#460) | AdjNet -7.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.377 (#453) | AdjO 68.9 | AdjD 74.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.586 (#236) | AdjO 72.6 | AdjD 68.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.565 (#342) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.576 (#335) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1140 (#112) | RD 99 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | @ | Penn St.-Abington | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-12 | vs | Gwynedd Mercy | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Wash. & Jeff. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Widener | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | York (PA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Immaculata | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Haverford | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Alvernia | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-14 | vs | Wilkes | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-28 | @ | Saint Joseph's | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-30 | @ | Lehman | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Susquehanna | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-07 | vs | Delaware Valley | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Stevens | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Misericordia | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Lebanon Valley | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | DeSales | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | King's (PA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | FDU-Florham | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Stevens | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Misericordia | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Troyer | - | 1 | 23.0 | 20.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 15.0 | 45 | 3.0 | 14.9 | 72.7 | 50.0 | 25.0 | 1.64 | 78.4 | 86.4 |
| Jamison Lynam | - | 19 | 33.6 | 19.2 | 2.7 | 3.4 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 14.1 | 10.5 | 117 | 6.5 | 27.5 | 50.4 | 46.3 | 78.9 | 1.45 | 62.3 | 59.7 |
| Nas Johnson | - | 15 | 31.3 | 16.4 | 3.5 | 4.1 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 2.7 | 12.4 | 10.1 | 74 | 5.3 | 16.6 | 42.5 | 29.7 | 80.3 | 0.89 | 56.1 | 49.7 |
| Cooper Haberern | - | 1 | 30.0 | 14.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 7.0 | 112 | 8.0 | 24.5 | 45.5 | 44.4 | 0 | 3.49 | 63.6 | 63.6 |
| Tate Landis | - | 1 | 32.0 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 77 | 5.1 | 18.5 | 66.7 | 60.0 | 50.0 | 1.16 | 87.2 | 91.7 |
| Joshua Okocha | - | 19 | 28.8 | 9.9 | 7.3 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 7.9 | 12.0 | 88 | 4.9 | 25.4 | 43.0 | 22.7 | 62.8 | 1.38 | 51.0 | 46.4 |
| Corey Attivo | - | 19 | 26.8 | 9.2 | 4.9 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 6.6 | 8.5 | 76 | 4.2 | 19.3 | 57.1 | 34.3 | 76.0 | 0.0 | 63.9 | 61.9 |
| Josh Parks | - | 18 | 28.7 | 8.4 | 6.3 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 8.1 | 9.2 | 110 | 6.5 | 33.8 | 39.3 | 27.9 | 66.7 | 3.6 | 49.3 | 47.6 |
| Darius Isaac | - | 17 | 16.0 | 4.8 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 4.4 | 3.6 | -13 | -0.9 | -8.2 | 33.8 | 27.5 | 74.1 | -3.52 | 47.2 | 41.2 |
| Kyndall Crawford | - | 17 | 10.6 | 4.6 | 3.2 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 3.2 | 4.9 | 28 | 1.8 | 20.2 | 60.0 | 40.0 | 88.9 | 1.07 | 66.1 | 63.6 |
| Amyr Walker | - | 19 | 16.1 | 4.2 | 3.6 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 3.2 | 6.2 | -4 | -0.2 | -1.6 | 52.5 | 11.1 | 55.6 | -2.18 | 54.9 | 53.3 |
| Marquis Kubish | - | 2 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 69.4 | 100.0 |
| Drew Pape | - | 1 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 17 | 1.4 | 25.9 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | 1.31 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Aleks Smith | - | 1 | 17.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 21 | 1.5 | 8.8 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.92 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Colin Treude | - | 1 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 49 | 3.5 | 49.1 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | 1.52 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Debarrin Norman | - | 12 | 5.4 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 2.4 | -2 | -0.2 | -3.8 | 70.0 | 0 | 40.0 | 2.5 | 62.5 | 70.0 |
| Alex Hermann | - | 14 | 8.1 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 8 | 0.6 | 15.5 | 31.2 | 14.3 | 22.2 | -1.05 | 32.6 | 34.4 |
| Keenan Reiss | - | 9 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.0 | -12 | -1.7 | -62.5 | 33.3 | 25.0 | 50.0 | - | 46.3 | 41.7 |
| Jordan Taylor | - | 11 | 5.2 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 11 | 0.9 | 31.8 | 28.6 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 0.97 | 51.4 | 35.7 |
| Cole Willey | - | 7 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | -8 | -1.3 | -120.8 | 66.7 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Chris Williams | - | 10 | 3.1 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.6 | -78 | -4.1 | -23.1 | 40.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -1.55 | 60.0 | 60.0 |
| Latrell Bullock | - | 6 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | - | 150.0 | 150.0 |
| Kahmai Clark | - | 6 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | -3 | -0.8 | -39.3 | 0 | 0 | 75.0 | - | 85.2 | 0 |
| Tysciere Jackson | - | 8 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.1 | -5 | -0.7 | -27.0 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 3.62 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Tymir Smalls | - | 5 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | -0.2 | -3 | -0.8 | -39.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 17.4 | 0.0 |
| Jorden Jones | - | 7 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -4 | -0.8 | -52.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4.44 | 0 | 0 |
| Simon Dlugi | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 15 | 1.2 | 31.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.73 | 0 | 0 |
| Nick Schroeder | - | 1 | 14.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 54 | 3.6 | 18.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.41 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| David Weaver | - | 1 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 24 | 2.2 | 44.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG