🐻⬇️🏀

Aquinas

Season: 2026 2022
Also known as: Aquinas
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 986 (#298) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 983 (#296) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 989 (#452) HCA +75 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → -39.4 (#674) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.000 (#766) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -88.5 More → 0.000 (#535) NetEff -88.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -34.1 More → 0.019 (#675) AdjNet -34.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -38.4 More → 0.006 (#707) AdjNet -38.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 53.2 | AdjD 70.0 More → 0.178 (#636) AdjO 53.2 | AdjD 70.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 54.8 | AdjD 67.4 More → 0.241 (#646) AdjO 54.8 | AdjD 67.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.080 (#664) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.094 (#667) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 299 | GP 1 More → 961 (#289) RD 299 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-12-21 vs Grand Valley St. L 21 - 93

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Hope Kanouse - 1 24.0 7.0 5.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 4.0 8.0 - - - 75.0 100.0 0 - 87.5 87.5
Isabel Reemsnyder - 1 17.0 5.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 9.0 2.0 - - - 22.2 50.0 0 - 27.8 27.8
Paige Guernsey - 1 27.0 5.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 8.0 -2.0 - - - 25.0 0.0 100.0 - 29.6 25.0
Emily Cline - 1 13.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 5.0 -4.0 - - - 20.0 0 0.0 - 17.0 20.0
Rhema Dozier - 1 29.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 6.0 -4.0 - - - 16.7 0.0 0 - 16.7 16.7
McKenzie Munson - 1 7.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Lakely Bottum - 1 5.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 2.0 -2.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Lauren Meerman - 1 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
MJ Mikus - 1 12.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Madelyn Smith - 1 10.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 123 5.6 17.7 0.0 0.0 0 1.24 0.0 0.0
Hannah Gillette - 1 12.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 2.0 -5.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Ellie Wrona - 1 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Emilynne Braue - 1 7.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Nia Moncrief - 1 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 -3.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Brynn Reams - 1 15.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Leah French - 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 -3.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Mary Gadwood - 1 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG