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Apprentice

Also known as: Apprentice
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026 latest available
Catalog

No materialized model snapshot for 2024 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 931 (#426) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 892 (#618) HCA +62 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → -4.2 (#425) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.819 (#294) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -25.0 More → 0.053 (#598) AdjNet -25.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -3.9 More → 0.372 (#420) AdjNet -3.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 50.1 | AdjD 71.2 More → 0.127 (#639) AdjO 50.1 | AdjD 71.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 57.9 | AdjD 62.3 More → 0.402 (#536) AdjO 57.9 | AdjD 62.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.347 (#496) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.347 (#504) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 225 | GP 3 More → 670 (#548) RD 225 | GP 3

2024 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2023-11-17 @ East. Mennonite L 48 - 70
2023-11-30 @ Trinity Washington W 56 - 37
2023-12-03 @ Warren Wilson W 71 - 64
2024-01-10 vs Va. Wesleyan W 57 - 48
2024-02-08 @ Va. Wesleyan W 46 - 39
2024-02-10 vs Trinity Washington W 78 - 1

2024 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
JADA ELEBY - 3 33.3 16.0 9.3 1.0 4.3 0.7 1.7 14.7 15.0 - - - 52.3 0.0 66.7 - 53.0 52.3
JADA BRYANT - 3 32.3 13.7 15.3 4.3 1.7 0.0 3.3 14.7 17.0 - - - 43.2 50.0 100.0 - 45.7 44.3
NYLA JACKSON - 3 31.7 11.7 3.7 1.3 1.7 0.0 1.7 15.0 1.7 33 4.7 8.1 31.1 21.1 50.0 0.35 36.7 35.6
ASHAWNTI WILLIAMS - 2 37.5 10.5 11.0 1.5 0.5 1.0 2.0 8.0 14.5 92 9.2 14.8 50.0 0 62.5 1.43 53.8 50.0
JASMINE MORGAN - 2 22.0 9.5 2.0 2.0 2.5 0.0 0.5 8.5 7.0 - - - 41.2 57.1 50.0 - 53.1 52.9
Kerrigan Small - 2 32.5 7.0 1.5 3.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 8.5 0.0 - - - 29.4 33.3 28.6 - 34.9 35.3
JAYLA STRATTON - 3 30.3 5.3 2.0 3.0 2.3 0.0 3.0 9.0 0.7 - - - 25.9 28.6 0 - 29.6 29.6
KATRINA THOMPSON - 2 16.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.5 4.5 2.0 - - - 33.3 33.3 0 - 44.4 44.4
RAEONNA STRATTON - 1 20.0 3.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 3.0 - - - 14.3 33.3 0 - 21.4 21.4
AMAYA RAY - 1 28.0 0.0 6.0 7.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 14.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Skylar Nettles - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
ANNIA BATTLE - 1 18.0 0.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG