Apprentice
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2024 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 931 (#426) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 892 (#618) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -4.2 (#425) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.819 (#294) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.053 (#598) | AdjNet -25.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.372 (#420) | AdjNet -3.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.127 (#639) | AdjO 50.1 | AdjD 71.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.402 (#536) | AdjO 57.9 | AdjD 62.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.347 (#496) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.347 (#504) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 670 (#548) | RD 225 | GP 3 |
2024 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11-17 | @ | East. Mennonite | L | 48 - 70 |
| 2023-11-30 | @ | Trinity Washington | W | 56 - 37 |
| 2023-12-03 | @ | Warren Wilson | W | 71 - 64 |
| 2024-01-10 | vs | Va. Wesleyan | W | 57 - 48 |
| 2024-02-08 | @ | Va. Wesleyan | W | 46 - 39 |
| 2024-02-10 | vs | Trinity Washington | W | 78 - 1 |
2024 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JADA ELEBY | - | 3 | 33.3 | 16.0 | 9.3 | 1.0 | 4.3 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 14.7 | 15.0 | - | - | - | 52.3 | 0.0 | 66.7 | - | 53.0 | 52.3 |
| JADA BRYANT | - | 3 | 32.3 | 13.7 | 15.3 | 4.3 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 3.3 | 14.7 | 17.0 | - | - | - | 43.2 | 50.0 | 100.0 | - | 45.7 | 44.3 |
| NYLA JACKSON | - | 3 | 31.7 | 11.7 | 3.7 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 15.0 | 1.7 | 33 | 4.7 | 8.1 | 31.1 | 21.1 | 50.0 | 0.35 | 36.7 | 35.6 |
| ASHAWNTI WILLIAMS | - | 2 | 37.5 | 10.5 | 11.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 14.5 | 92 | 9.2 | 14.8 | 50.0 | 0 | 62.5 | 1.43 | 53.8 | 50.0 |
| JASMINE MORGAN | - | 2 | 22.0 | 9.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 8.5 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 41.2 | 57.1 | 50.0 | - | 53.1 | 52.9 |
| Kerrigan Small | - | 2 | 32.5 | 7.0 | 1.5 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 8.5 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 29.4 | 33.3 | 28.6 | - | 34.9 | 35.3 |
| JAYLA STRATTON | - | 3 | 30.3 | 5.3 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 0.7 | - | - | - | 25.9 | 28.6 | 0 | - | 29.6 | 29.6 |
| KATRINA THOMPSON | - | 2 | 16.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 4.5 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 44.4 | 44.4 |
| RAEONNA STRATTON | - | 1 | 20.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 14.3 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 21.4 | 21.4 |
| AMAYA RAY | - | 1 | 28.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 14.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Skylar Nettles | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| ANNIA BATTLE | - | 1 | 18.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG