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Apprentice

Also known as: Apprentice
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026 latest available
Catalog

No materialized model snapshot for 2023 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 931 (#426) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 892 (#618) HCA +62 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → -4.2 (#425) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.819 (#294) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -25.0 More → 0.053 (#598) AdjNet -25.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -3.9 More → 0.372 (#420) AdjNet -3.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 50.1 | AdjD 71.2 More → 0.127 (#639) AdjO 50.1 | AdjD 71.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 57.9 | AdjD 62.3 More → 0.402 (#536) AdjO 57.9 | AdjD 62.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.347 (#496) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.347 (#504) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 225 | GP 3 More → 670 (#548) RD 225 | GP 3

2023 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2022-11-08 @ Randolph L 48 - 68
2022-11-22 @ Trinity Washington W 70 - 40
2023-01-13 vs Trinity Washington W 89 - 39

2023 Roster

No roster data available for this season.