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Apprentice

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2020 2019 2017 2016 2015
Also known as: Apprentice
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 995 (#390) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 974 (#411) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 991 (#518) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -7.8 (#226) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -9.0 (#515) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.472 (#490) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -12.3 More → 0.196 (#544) AdjNet -12.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -12.4 More → 0.190 (#543) AdjNet -12.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 65.9 | AdjD 74.9 More → 0.306 (#537) AdjO 65.9 | AdjD 74.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.1 | AdjD 73.3 More → 0.448 (#512) AdjO 71.1 | AdjD 73.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.331 (#554) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.348 (#547) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 299 | GP 5 More → 964 (#424) RD 299 | GP 5

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-12 @ Va. Wesleyan L 63 - 91
2025-11-15 @ Methodist W 88 - 77
2025-11-22 @ Averett L 61 - 62
2025-12-05 vs Greensboro W 84 - 77
2025-12-06 @ N.C. Wesleyan L 51 - 66

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
DJ Jackson - 1 35.2 22.0 6.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 6.0 15.0 12.0 -32 -2.0 -5.6 40.0 0.0 83.3 -1.38 54.2 40.0
Dontavious Pettaway - 1 24.5 17.0 5.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 16.0 -26 -1.3 -8.6 75.0 0 100.0 -0.95 83.3 75.0
Timayahs Bracey - 1 31.9 16.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 13.0 4.0 -57 -2.7 -11.3 38.5 50.0 75.0 -4.8 54.2 50.0
Will Gray - 1 28.6 16.0 5.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 4.0 8.0 14.0 -93 -5.2 -18.5 62.5 80.0 100.0 -2.49 90.1 87.5
Amari Moorer - 1 24.0 15.0 8.0 2.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 10.0 19.0 107 5.1 25.7 70.0 100.0 0.0 4.57 71.8 75.0
Jackson Sellars - 1 29.7 14.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 9.0 10.0 -33 -1.6 -5.8 77.8 0 0 2.55 77.8 77.8
Jahlil Hope - 1 31.9 14.0 6.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 10.0 13.0 - - - 50.0 33.3 75.0 - 59.5 55.0
Ron Jones - 1 30.1 13.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 9.0 0.0 -67 -5.2 -620.8 55.6 0 100.0 -0.17 63.0 55.6
Brian Bullock - 1 20.8 12.0 7.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 9.0 12.0 -31 -1.5 -12.5 55.6 40.0 0.0 0.32 63.6 66.7
Jeremiah Howard - 1 29.1 12.0 6.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 8.0 13.0 -5 -0.2 -1.8 62.5 0 100.0 0.57 67.6 62.5
Tre' Williams - 1 26.8 11.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 9.0 2.0 -49 -2.5 -17.3 44.4 40.0 50.0 -0.96 55.7 55.6
KJ Brooks - 1 27.1 9.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 10.0 0.0 -31 -1.6 -9.3 30.0 0.0 60.0 0.55 36.9 30.0
Mahlik Munnerlyn - 1 38.4 9.0 8.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 7.0 11.0 - - - 14.3 0 87.5 - 42.8 14.3
Kelby Saunders Jr - 1 25.0 9.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 8.0 - - - 40.0 0.0 83.3 - 58.9 40.0
Jr. KelbySaunders - 1 25.0 9.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 8.0 - - - 40.0 0.0 83.3 - 58.9 40.0
T.J. East - 1 18.8 9.0 4.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 7.0 113 7.1 35.7 28.6 50.0 75.0 0.03 51.4 42.9
Miles Hancock - 1 18.9 9.0 10.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 16.0 -19 -1.1 -28.5 75.0 0 75.0 -1.83 78.1 75.0
Demeir Pollard - 1 18.4 9.0 6.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 12.0 35 1.8 11.7 50.0 66.7 75.0 1.37 78.1 75.0
Josh Seiler - 1 25.5 8.0 6.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 7.0 11.0 -69 -3.6 -32.0 57.1 0.0 0 -2.0 57.1 57.1
Malcolm Velmar - 1 21.0 8.0 3.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 8.0 91 5.1 31.1 28.6 33.3 100.0 1.34 50.8 42.9
Tomas Stevens - 1 23.4 7.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 4.0 -21 -1.1 -10.8 50.0 100.0 0 0.92 58.3 58.3
Ryan Roberts - 1 26.4 6.0 8.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 6.0 6.0 -11 -0.7 -2.2 33.3 25.0 50.0 -0.54 43.6 41.7
Adrion Wall - 1 18.7 6.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 4.0 - - - 33.3 0.0 100.0 - 43.6 33.3
Elijah Gardner - 1 5.6 6.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 5.0 - - - 66.7 50.0 50.0 - 77.3 83.3
O'Montae Daniels - 1 21.9 5.0 3.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 9.0 -5 -0.2 -1.8 40.0 50.0 0 -1.85 50.0 50.0
Blair Crumbie - 1 20.2 5.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 4.0 -20 -1.4 -11.7 50.0 33.3 0 -0.48 62.5 62.5
D'Markus Tucker - 1 16.4 5.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 7.0 -6 -0.8 -14.4 50.0 0 50.0 -0.56 51.2 50.0
Quan Bowling - 1 9.8 5.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 5.0 -10 -1.7 -10.1 50.0 100.0 0 0.24 62.5 62.5
Paul Anderson - 1 15.2 5.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 4.0 41 2.0 11.0 50.0 33.3 0 0.24 62.5 62.5
Khai Seargeant - 1 13.3 5.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 6.0 0.0 26 1.2 17.9 33.3 0.0 100.0 0.33 38.8 33.3
Mason Mitchell - 1 17.1 4.0 2.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 6.0 -109 -5.0 -17.1 20.0 0.0 100.0 1.86 34.0 20.0
Xavien Hunter - 1 10.8 4.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 1.0 - - - 40.0 0.0 0.0 - 34.0 40.0
Jalen Chambers - 1 13.1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 2.0 -2.0 -4 -0.2 -4.1 50.0 50.0 0.0 -1.9 52.1 75.0
Josh Lewis - 1 15.9 3.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 4.0 6.0 -43 -4.3 -114.7 25.0 50.0 0 -1.06 37.5 37.5
Zach Skogen - 1 18.4 3.0 6.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 14.0 -12 -0.5 -2.9 50.0 0.0 25.0 0.21 39.9 50.0
Kurij Harrell - 1 26.6 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 7.0 -2.0 - - - 14.3 16.7 0 - 21.4 21.4
Brayden Thorne - 1 5.5 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 -26 -5.2 -183.0 33.3 50.0 0 0.1 50.0 50.0
Sean O'Connor - 1 12.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 -3.0 2 0.1 2.5 33.3 0 0 0.62 33.3 33.3
Griffin Powell - 1 20.8 2.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 1.0 -65 -4.6 -26.5 0.0 0.0 66.7 -0.69 18.8 0.0
Karree Smith - 1 14.7 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 -1.0 25 2.3 21.8 25.0 0.0 0 2.24 25.0 25.0
Jayden Eason - 1 20.4 2.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 7.0 -5.0 - - - 14.3 0.0 0 - 14.3 14.3
Montroll Jackson - 1 11.7 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 -3.0 -16 -0.8 -4.6 33.3 0 0 -2.69 33.3 33.3
Xavion White - 1 3.8 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 -4 -0.3 -40.9 0 0 50.0 -0.13 56.8 0
Terrell Fitzgerald - 1 3.3 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 -45 -2.5 -52.3 0 0 50.0 -2.19 56.8 0
Mike Fee - 1 7.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -2.0 16 0.8 11.4 0.0 0 0 0.06 0.0 0.0
Deuce Rice - 1 2.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -2.0 -17 -0.8 -10.4 0.0 0.0 0 -2.26 0.0 0.0
Isaiah Ramazani - 1 3.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -14 -0.7 -7.0 0 0 0 0.02 0 0
Tyler Stephens - 1 4.7 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -1.0 9 0.5 2.1 0.0 0 0 4.72 0.0 0.0
Peyton Brown - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2 0.5 29.8 0 0 0 0.62 0 0
Mike Downing - 1 1.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 -2.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Zephaniah Jones - 1 1.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -15 -1.4 -14.5 0 0 0 -0.68 0 0
Chris Hinmon - 1 1.8 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Da'Mon Duffin - 1 1.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Aaron Brown - 1 1.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 -127 -6.3 -40.9 0 0 0 -0.82 0 0
Marcus Rustin - 1 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -10 -5.0 -170.2 0 0 0 -0.38 0 0
Jordan Watlington - 1 2.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - 0.0 0.0
Austin Smith - 1 4.3 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 -19 -1.9 -27.5 0.0 0.0 0 -0.17 0.0 0.0
Jayson Williams - 1 9.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -3.0 32 2.3 47.9 0.0 0.0 0 1.23 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG