Apprentice School Builders
Model Outputs
2021-2022
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 997 (#281) | HCA +115 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -16.1 (#728) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -17.4 (#547) | HCA +2.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.461 (#425) | AdjO 68.3 | AdjD 70.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.217 (#528) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.261 (#526) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 890 (#495) | RD 350 | GP 1 |
2022 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-11-27 | @ | North Carolina Central Eagles | L | 56 - 96 |
2022 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
K. Smith
|
- | 1 | 34.0 | 16.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 16.0 | -70 | -2.3 | -5.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.51 | 0 | 0 |
S. Keita
|
F | 1 | 17.0 | 13.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 17.0 | -20 | -2.9 | -11.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.32 | 0 | 0 |
A. Caldwell
|
G | 1 | 21.0 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 22.0 | -24 | -1.0 | -2.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.13 | 0 | 0 |
A. Hawkins
|
- | 1 | 27.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.52 | 0 | 0 |
C. Goode
|
- | 1 | 21.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 12.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
M. Moore
|
- | 1 | 32.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 67 | 2.6 | 10.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.61 | 0 | 0 |
A. Price
|
G | 1 | 20.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.41 | 0 | 0 |
C. Joyner
|
- | 1 | 31.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.5 | 0 | 0 |
V. Eley
|
- | 1 | 14.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Player #4906682
|
- | 1 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
C. Mielewski
|
- | 1 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
K. Harrell
|
- | 1 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Player #4906680
|
- | 1 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Player #4906674
|
- | 1 | 18.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Player #4906675
|
- | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
C. Riddick
|
- | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG