Appalachian State
Model Outputs
2002-2003
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 945 (#187) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1067 (#111) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1023 (#131) | HCA +112 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -0.2 (#169) | HCA +3.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -2.2 (#192) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.553 (#129) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.467 (#174) | AdjNet -1.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.466 (#175) | AdjNet -1.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.497 (#167) | AdjO 78.7 | AdjD 78.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.477 (#186) | AdjO 75.9 | AdjD 76.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.491 (#169) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.487 (#169) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 999 (#156) | RD 157 | GP 26 |
2003 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002-11-25 | vs | Charlotte | W | 103 - 100 |
| 2002-11-30 | @ | South Carolina | L | 56 - 71 |
| 2002-12-07 | @ | Marquette | L | 78 - 101 |
| 2002-12-17 | vs | Southern Methodist | W | 87 - 65 |
| 2002-12-22 | @ | Georgia | L | 62 - 99 |
| 2002-12-30 | @ | James Madison | W | 83 - 76 |
| 2003-01-06 | vs | East Tennessee State | W | 108 - 94 |
| 2003-01-11 | vs | UNC Greensboro | W | 91 - 60 |
| 2003-01-13 | @ | Georgia Southern | W | 87 - 81 |
| 2003-01-15 | vs | Gardner-Webb | W | 99 - 98 |
| 2003-01-18 | @ | Chattanooga | W | 107 - 99 |
| 2003-01-21 | @ | Western Carolina | L | 69 - 70 |
| 2003-01-24 | @ | VMI | W | 85 - 68 |
| 2003-01-27 | vs | Furman | W | 83 - 67 |
| 2003-01-28 | @ | Gardner-Webb | L | 82 - 88 |
| 2003-02-01 | vs | The Citadel | W | 75 - 65 |
| 2003-02-03 | vs | Western Carolina | W | 99 - 69 |
| 2003-02-08 | @ | Davidson | L | 86 - 99 |
| 2003-02-10 | vs | VMI | W | 83 - 64 |
| 2003-02-15 | vs | College of Charleston | L | 96 - 108 |
| 2003-02-18 | @ | Wofford | W | 76 - 72 |
| 2003-02-22 | vs | Davidson | L | 81 - 94 |
| 2003-02-24 | @ | UNC Greensboro | W | 71 - 68 |
| 2003-03-01 | @ | East Tennessee State | L | 78 - 88 |
| 2003-03-05 | N | The Citadel | W | 73 - 63 |
| 2003-03-06 | N | Chattanooga | L | 67 - 98 |
2003 Roster
No roster data available for this season.