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Antelope Valley

Season: 2024 2023 2022 2017
Also known as: Antelope Valley
Program History

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 958 (#527) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 945 (#537) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 998 (#208) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +0.9 (#485) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More → -7.5 (#443) HCA +2.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.3 | AdjD 69.2 More → 0.479 (#322) AdjO 68.3 | AdjD 69.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.316 (#454) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.345 (#446) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 908 (#440) RD 350 | GP 1

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-11-12 @ Utah Valley Wolverines L 48 - 82

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
C. Leifson C. Leifson G 1 14.0 18.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 19.0 26 1.7 13.4 0 0 0 0.31 0 0
E. Ezenekwe E. Ezenekwe G 1 21.0 8.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
J. Hill J. Hill - 1 23.0 6.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 6.0 345 10.1 13.4 0 0 0 0.05 0 0
H. Bolden H. Bolden - 1 22.0 6.0 5.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 13.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
N. Hobbs N. Hobbs - 1 13.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 4.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
T. Murrell T. Murrell G 1 19.0 4.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 5.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
L. Ott L. Ott G 1 24.0 4.0 3.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
J. Johnson J. Johnson - 1 17.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 -43 -8.6 -31.6 0 0 0 1.56 0 0
A. Nicholas A. Nicholas - 1 16.0 4.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 8.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
J. Sola J. Sola SF 1 11.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
T. Chisolm T. Chisolm - 1 6.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
D. Lewis D. Lewis - 1 11.0 2.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
B. Anderson B. Anderson F 1 3.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 90 2.9 5.4 0 0 0 0.75 0 0
T. Farrer T. Farrer - 1 7.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 38 1.7 6.5 0 0 0 0.18 0 0
A. McCord A. McCord F 1 8.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 79 3.2 11.4 0 0 0 0.9 0 0
D. Green D. Green - 1 17.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 -2.0 108 3.2 7.7 0 0 0 0.33 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG