Anna Maria
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1000 (#246) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 831 (#518) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 912 (#598) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -30.6 (#395) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -17.9 (#585) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.373 (#508) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.120 (#479) | NetEff -12.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.035 (#624) | AdjNet -28.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.030 (#623) | AdjNet -29.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.152 (#627) | AdjO 53.2 | AdjD 72.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.296 (#605) | AdjO 55.3 | AdjD 64.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.160 (#626) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.181 (#619) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 826 (#473) | RD 105 | GP 19 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | @ | Clark (MA) | L | 54 - 113 |
| 2025-11-08 | vs | Worcester St. | L | 50 - 72 |
| 2025-11-12 | vs | Regis (MA) | L | 55 - 70 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Purchase | W | 80 - 61 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Lasell | L | 48 - 60 |
| 2025-12-10 | vs | Mitchell | W | 66 - 59 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | New England Col. | L | 66 - 72 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | MCLA | L | 0 - 0 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Bridgewater St. | L | 44 - 76 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Westfield St. | L | 46 - 66 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Fitchburg St. | W | 70 - 49 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Worcester St. | L | 67 - 78 |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Framingham St. | L | 54 - 80 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Salem St. | W | 71 - 59 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | MCLA | W | 72 - 28 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Bridgewater St. | L | 46 - 65 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arianna Gonzalez | - | 15 | 34.6 | 10.3 | 5.8 | 4.3 | 3.3 | 0.5 | 3.7 | 10.3 | 10.3 | -46 | -2.9 | -14.9 | 33.1 | 27.2 | 79.5 | 0.07 | 45.3 | 40.3 |
| Tiffany Salazar | - | 14 | 30.3 | 9.6 | 3.6 | 2.7 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 4.1 | 11.1 | 2.4 | -19 | -1.3 | -9.1 | 29.0 | 26.2 | 56.4 | -0.9 | 38.9 | 36.1 |
| Meaghan Doyle | - | 13 | 18.9 | 7.9 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 2.5 | 9.3 | 2.5 | -38 | -2.9 | -34.6 | 32.2 | 26.7 | 69.2 | -1.63 | 40.6 | 38.8 |
| Sarah O'Connor | - | 15 | 30.0 | 7.4 | 7.7 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 2.8 | 9.2 | 7.5 | -9 | -0.6 | -4.0 | 29.7 | 17.8 | 48.8 | -0.03 | 35.4 | 32.6 |
| Hannah Baxter | - | 15 | 15.5 | 6.5 | 4.4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 4.7 | 5.4 | -39 | -3.0 | -23.6 | 40.0 | 0 | 62.7 | -0.64 | 49.3 | 40.0 |
| Bri Franklin | - | 3 | 19.0 | 5.7 | 5.3 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 6.7 | 6.3 | 1 | 0.3 | 2.7 | 20.0 | 13.3 | 77.8 | 0.19 | 35.5 | 25.0 |
| Arianna Saladini | - | 6 | 17.4 | 4.8 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 4.7 | 1.8 | -18 | -3.6 | -23.9 | 39.3 | 38.5 | 50.0 | -0.78 | 48.7 | 48.2 |
| Briana Franklin | - | 11 | 15.4 | 4.6 | 3.1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 4.1 | 4.5 | -41 | -3.4 | -30.4 | 40.0 | 40.9 | 60.0 | -1.87 | 51.6 | 50.0 |
| Arianna Saldini | - | 9 | 19.4 | 4.4 | 3.1 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 6.9 | 1.6 | -23 | -2.3 | -20.7 | 24.2 | 26.7 | 54.5 | -2.33 | 29.9 | 27.4 |
| Kimani Wilburn | - | 15 | 12.7 | 4.1 | 4.0 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 4.5 | 2.9 | -72 | -4.5 | -47.6 | 30.9 | 14.3 | 56.2 | -2.21 | 37.8 | 32.4 |
| Taylar Hodge | - | 12 | 17.2 | 3.8 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 3.2 | 3.6 | 36 | 2.6 | 25.2 | 42.1 | 31.6 | 61.5 | 1.29 | 52.6 | 50.0 |
| MorningStar Danford | - | 8 | 5.1 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 2.5 | 11 | 1.4 | 14.0 | 60.0 | 0 | 60.0 | 0.88 | 63.8 | 60.0 |
| Kelly Martyanov | - | 6 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 6 | 0.9 | 15.1 | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | -0.01 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Natalie Nguyen | - | 6 | 7.9 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2.3 | 0.5 | -14 | -2.0 | -218.2 | 21.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -1.11 | 20.8 | 21.4 |
| Mae McGowan | - | 14 | 5.6 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.9 | -13 | -0.9 | -22.7 | 38.5 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.26 | 43.2 | 38.5 |
| Sydney Cohen | - | 8 | 2.4 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | -2 | -0.3 | -6.2 | 33.3 | 0 | 25.0 | -0.39 | 31.5 | 33.3 |
| Kennedy Etheridge | - | 7 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 10 | 1.4 | 48.3 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.75 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Maddie Teal | - | 10 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.6 | -0.1 | 7 | 0.7 | 18.9 | 16.7 | 0 | 0 | -0.42 | 16.7 | 16.7 |
| Ahlina Andreews | - | 1 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Kennedy Eldridge | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG