Angelo St.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1008 (#256) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 961 (#331) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1077 (#92) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +4.0 (#131) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +12.8 (#172) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.614 (#322) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.466 (#290) | NetEff -1.0 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.860 (#243) | AdjNet +15.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.873 (#234) | AdjNet +16.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.727 (#229) | AdjO 72.2 | AdjD 61.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.657 (#115) | AdjO 63.2 | AdjD 56.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.714 (#162) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.713 (#159) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1053 (#189) | RD 105 | GP 20 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Adams St. | L | 62 - 79 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Regis (CO) | W | 61 - 51 |
| 2025-11-17 | @ | Western Colo. | L | 49 - 65 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Fort Lewis | L | 61 - 62 |
| 2025-11-30 | @ | Pittsburg St. | L | 46 - 66 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Midwestern St. | L | 58 - 65 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Lubbock Christian | L | 59 - 77 |
| 2025-12-15 | vs | Tex. A&M Int'l | W | 59 - 38 |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Emporia St. | W | 72 - 64 |
| 2026-01-02 | vs | UT Tyler | L | 42 - 45 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Okla. Christian | W | 76 - 64 |
| 2026-01-13 | vs | UT Permian Basin | L | 67 - 76 |
| 2026-01-15 | vs | Texas-Dallas | W | 63 - 49 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Tex. A&M-Kingsville | W | 48 - 46 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Tex. A&M-Kingsville | W | 69 - 48 |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | UT Permian Basin | W | 60 - 51 |
| 2026-02-05 | vs | Western N.M. | W | 79 - 47 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Sul Ross St. | W | 77 - 46 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Majik Esquivel | - | 18 | 32.4 | 15.1 | 3.3 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 2.8 | 14.3 | 5.3 | 62 | 3.3 | 15.2 | 37.7 | 29.2 | 73.7 | 0.2 | 48.0 | 44.6 |
| Taylor Grona | - | 18 | 31.1 | 10.1 | 5.6 | 2.8 | 2.1 | 0.3 | 3.3 | 9.2 | 8.3 | 54 | 2.8 | 13.7 | 34.5 | 29.6 | 75.4 | 3.8 | 46.6 | 39.4 |
| Keniah Williams | - | 15 | 24.0 | 9.2 | 7.3 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 2.6 | 2.9 | 7.8 | 9.7 | 19 | 1.3 | 6.2 | 48.7 | 0.0 | 61.5 | 1.25 | 51.4 | 48.7 |
| Landry Morrow | - | 18 | 30.1 | 8.8 | 5.7 | 2.4 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 2.1 | 8.9 | 7.3 | 87 | 4.6 | 23.8 | 35.4 | 33.9 | 67.6 | 2.82 | 44.6 | 41.3 |
| Stevi Lockhart | - | 18 | 23.2 | 5.7 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 6.5 | 2.7 | -2 | -0.1 | -0.6 | 32.5 | 25.4 | 61.1 | -1.91 | 41.2 | 39.3 |
| Addy Burns | - | 5 | 23.5 | 5.2 | 2.6 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 3.6 | 6.6 | 0.4 | -25 | -6.2 | -9.5 | 27.3 | 40.0 | 66.7 | -0.78 | 36.5 | 33.3 |
| Kenna Wood | - | 18 | 17.0 | 3.8 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 4.2 | 3.0 | 53 | 2.8 | 18.5 | 36.8 | 15.4 | 47.8 | 2.33 | 40.1 | 38.2 |
| Briley Merket | - | 18 | 12.6 | 3.4 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 4.1 | 0.7 | -89 | -4.9 | -34.6 | 29.7 | 25.5 | 100.0 | -3.43 | 40.3 | 38.5 |
| Halle Hughes | - | 9 | 10.2 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 2.7 | 1.8 | -12 | -1.3 | -13.9 | 37.5 | 36.8 | 62.5 | -1.79 | 54.5 | 52.1 |
| Tristin Keller | - | 14 | 15.9 | 3.0 | 3.6 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 2.9 | 5.1 | 81 | 5.8 | 64.4 | 40.0 | 35.7 | 41.7 | 1.6 | 46.4 | 46.2 |
| Betti Hamori | - | 7 | 6.2 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 1.6 | -15 | -2.5 | -18.4 | 57.1 | 100.0 | 50.0 | -1.73 | 63.5 | 64.3 |
| Chidera Ezelio | - | 9 | 6.1 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.2 | -19 | -2.4 | -39.7 | 27.3 | 0 | 33.3 | -1.22 | 30.7 | 27.3 |
| Dragana Scepanovic | - | 8 | 6.8 | 1.0 | 3.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 3.6 | 9 | 1.1 | 20.8 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 0.45 | 58.1 | 58.3 |
| Chidera Ezeilo | - | 4 | 5.1 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.0 | -3 | -0.5 | -58.1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.49 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG