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Angelo St.

Also known as: Angelo St.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1081 (#107) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1058 (#132) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More โ†’ 995 (#309) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More โ†’ +9.4 (#107) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More โ†’ -0.7 (#341) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.473 (#184) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +8.5 More โ†’ 0.742 (#219) NetEff +8.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +10.7 More โ†’ 0.774 (#113) AdjNet +10.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +11.9 More โ†’ 0.799 (#105) AdjNet +11.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 75.9 | AdjD 66.9 More โ†’ 0.693 (#107) AdjO 75.9 | AdjD 66.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.8 | AdjD 74.2 More โ†’ 0.470 (#363) AdjO 72.8 | AdjD 74.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.457 (#349) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.459 (#346) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 72 | GP 59 More โ†’ 980 (#249) RD 72 | GP 59

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-04 @ New Mexico St. - Incomplete score
2025-11-07 @ Neb.-Kearney - Incomplete score
2025-11-08 @ N.M. Highlands - Incomplete score
2025-11-09 vs Colo. Sch. of Mines - Incomplete score
2025-11-14 vs West Ala. - Incomplete score
2025-11-14 vs Western Colo. - Incomplete score
2025-11-15 vs Adams St. W 68 - 61
2025-11-15 vs Mississippi Col. - Incomplete score
2025-11-17 @ Tarleton St. - Incomplete score
2025-11-20 vs Morehouse - Incomplete score
2025-11-20 @ Sul Ross St. - Incomplete score
2025-11-24 @ Tex. A&M Int'l - Incomplete score
2025-11-28 @ Fort Lewis - Incomplete score
2025-11-29 vs Florida Tech - Incomplete score
2025-11-29 @ Justice Col. - Incomplete score
2025-12-03 @ Midwestern St. - Incomplete score
2025-12-04 @ Clark Atlanta - Incomplete score
2025-12-11 vs Savannah St. - Incomplete score
2025-12-13 vs Edward Waters - Incomplete score
2025-12-15 @ Florida A&M - Incomplete score
2025-12-15 vs Tex. A&M Int'l - Incomplete score
2025-12-17 @ Allen - Incomplete score
2025-12-19 @ Benedict - Incomplete score
2025-12-20 vs West Liberty - Incomplete score
2025-12-21 @ Hawaii Hilo - Incomplete score
2025-12-31 @ Shorter - Incomplete score
2026-01-02 vs UT Tyler - Incomplete score
2026-01-03 @ LeMoyne-Owen - Incomplete score
2026-01-04 vs DBU - Incomplete score
2026-01-13 vs UT Permian Basin - Incomplete score
2026-01-13 @ Miles - Incomplete score
2026-01-15 vs Texas-Dallas - Incomplete score
2026-01-17 vs Spring Hill - Incomplete score
2026-01-19 @ Tuskegee - Incomplete score
2026-01-21 vs Tex. A&M-Kingsville - Incomplete score
2026-01-24 @ Tex. A&M-Kingsville - Incomplete score
2026-01-29 @ UT Permian Basin - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

No roster data available for this season.