🐻⬇️🏀

American

Season: 2026 2025 2024
Also known as: American
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1025 (#284) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1045 (#278) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 994 (#498) HCA +56 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → +28.0 (#69) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.999 (#76) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +39.4 More → 0.990 (#45) AdjNet +39.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +39.0 More → 0.991 (#47) AdjNet +39.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 93.5 | AdjD 61.4 More → 0.949 (#29) AdjO 93.5 | AdjD 61.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 84.4 | AdjD 72.2 More → 0.752 (#62) AdjO 84.4 | AdjD 72.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.880 (#38) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.844 (#47) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 1127 (#132) RD 350 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-24 vs Marywood W 113 - 53

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Madden Collins - 1 15.4 20.0 5.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 10.0 17.0 - - - 90.0 100.0 100.0 - 95.8 95.0
Kade Sebastian - 1 25.9 20.0 4.0 6.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 25.0 - - - 87.5 75.0 100.0 - 107.3 106.2
Matt Mayock - 1 20.6 11.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 9.0 - - - 80.0 75.0 0 - 110.0 110.0
Julen Iturbe - 1 17.3 10.0 10.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 16.0 - - - 66.7 0.0 50.0 - 64.4 66.7
Greg Jones - 1 16.1 10.0 2.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 10.0 3 0.1 0.9 50.0 33.3 50.0 0.63 56.3 56.2
Dean Hogans - 1 19.6 9.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 8.0 - - - 50.0 33.3 50.0 - 58.0 58.3
Wyatt Nausadis - 1 19.7 9.0 3.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 11.0 - - - 60.0 75.0 0 - 90.0 90.0
Luke Brown - 1 15.8 7.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 6.0 6.0 4 1.0 42.5 33.3 0.0 75.0 1.49 45.1 33.3
Chris Eagan - 1 15.5 7.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 6.0 - - - 42.9 100.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Geoff Sprouse - 1 16.5 5.0 1.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 4.0 - - - 40.0 0.0 100.0 - 46.0 40.0
Matthew Casey - 1 10.3 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 2.0 - - - 25.0 33.3 0 - 37.5 37.5
Jack Anderson - 1 7.2 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 6 0.5 1.8 100.0 0 0 2.53 100.0 100.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG