American
Also known as: American
Program History
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2024 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1025 (#284) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1045 (#278) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 994 (#498) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +28.0 (#69) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.999 (#76) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.990 (#45) | AdjNet +39.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.991 (#47) | AdjNet +39.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.949 (#29) | AdjO 93.5 | AdjD 61.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.752 (#62) | AdjO 84.4 | AdjD 72.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.880 (#38) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.844 (#47) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1127 (#132) | RD 350 | GP 1 |
2024 Schedule & Results
2024 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geoff Sprouse | - | 1 | 24.0 | 26.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 | 20.0 | - | - | - | 53.3 | 53.8 | 100.0 | - | 79.7 | 76.7 |
| Matt Mayock | - | 1 | 23.0 | 14.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 15.0 | - | - | - | 45.5 | 40.0 | 0 | - | 63.6 | 63.6 |
| Elijah Stephens | - | 1 | 27.0 | 13.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 16.0 | - | - | - | 83.3 | 100.0 | 100.0 | - | 94.5 | 91.7 |
| Matt Rogers | - | 1 | 12.0 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 71.4 | 0 | 33.3 | - | 66.1 | 71.4 |
| Lorenzo Donadio | - | 1 | 25.0 | 10.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 11.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 33.3 | 50.0 | - | 50.6 | 50.0 |
| Greg Jones | - | 1 | 15.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 55.4 | 40.0 |
| Colin Smalls | - | 1 | 21.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 66.7 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Lincoln Ball | - | 1 | 22.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 28.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | 26.9 | 28.6 |
| Jermaine Ballisager Webb | - | 1 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | -24 | -12.0 | -29.3 | 100.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.24 | 72.5 | 100.0 |
| Gibraltar Coleman | - | 1 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Chris Gleaton | - | 1 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Noah Jones | - | 1 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 14 | 4.7 | 39.5 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.17 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Alex Daniels | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Nick Marshall | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG