American University
Model Outputs
1999-2000
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 879 (#211) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 881 (#233) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 926 (#242) | HCA +114 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -4.4 (#202) | HCA +3.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -3.5 (#195) | HCA +3.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.385 (#205) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.289 (#218) | AdjNet -7.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.286 (#218) | AdjNet -7.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.411 (#203) | AdjO 62.9 | AdjD 66.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.445 (#201) | AdjO 65.2 | AdjD 67.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.358 (#223) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.364 (#224) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 884 (#227) | RD 146 | GP 28 |
2000 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1999-11-20 | vs | North Carolina A&T | W | 68 - 58 |
| 1999-11-27 | @ | Delaware | L | 57 - 58 |
| 1999-11-29 | @ | Loyola (MD) | W | 74 - 66 |
| 1999-12-04 | vs | Wagner | W | 79 - 72 |
| 1999-12-07 | @ | Marist | L | 63 - 72 |
| 1999-12-11 | vs | Jacksonville | W | 61 - 59 |
| 1999-12-18 | @ | George Mason | L | 71 - 76 |
| 1999-12-22 | @ | Eastern Kentucky | L | 63 - 73 |
| 1999-12-29 | @ | Ohio State | L | 43 - 79 |
| 2000-01-05 | @ | James Madison | L | 52 - 59 |
| 2000-01-08 | vs | UNC Wilmington | W | 60 - 58 |
| 2000-01-10 | vs | Coastal Carolina | L | 73 - 74 |
| 2000-01-12 | @ | George Washington | L | 72 - 83 |
| 2000-01-15 | vs | East Carolina | W | 72 - 64 |
| 2000-01-19 | @ | Old Dominion | L | 57 - 62 |
| 2000-01-22 | @ | Richmond | L | 63 - 78 |
| 2000-01-29 | @ | UNC Wilmington | L | 46 - 69 |
| 2000-01-31 | @ | East Carolina | L | 59 - 62 |
| 2000-02-05 | vs | George Mason | L | 58 - 64 |
| 2000-02-07 | vs | William & Mary | W | 77 - 62 |
| 2000-02-10 | vs | Old Dominion | W | 73 - 66 |
| 2000-02-12 | vs | James Madison | L | 62 - 64 |
| 2000-02-16 | vs | Richmond | L | 65 - 66 |
| 2000-02-23 | @ | Virginia Commonwealth | L | 64 - 66 |
| 2000-02-26 | @ | William & Mary | L | 60 - 70 |
| 2000-02-29 | vs | Virginia Commonwealth | W | 97 - 88 |
| 2000-03-03 | N | East Carolina | W | 74 - 54 |
| 2000-03-04 | N | George Mason | L | 58 - 75 |
2000 Roster
No roster data available for this season.