American Int'l
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1059 (#120) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1089 (#109) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1097 (#74) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +4.9 (#119) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +6.3 (#260) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.632 (#312) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.808 (#180) | NetEff +10.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.531 (#393) | AdjNet +1.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.543 (#394) | AdjNet +1.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.541 (#366) | AdjO 68.0 | AdjD 66.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.639 (#132) | AdjO 69.7 | AdjD 63.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.711 (#166) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.704 (#168) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1151 (#74) | RD 104 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-15 | @ | St. Thomas Aquinas | W | 73 - 58 |
| 2025-11-16 | vs | D'Youville | W | 72 - 46 |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | Southern Conn. St. | W | 69 - 68 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Felician | W | 65 - 41 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Assumption | W | 71 - 52 |
| 2025-11-30 | @ | Post | L | 79 - 81 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Adelphi | L | 54 - 56 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Pace | W | 88 - 67 |
| 2025-12-17 | @ | Staten Island | L | 63 - 65 |
| 2025-12-19 | vs | Dominican (NY) | W | 68 - 56 |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Queens (NY) | W | 80 - 51 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Assumption | W | 68 - 53 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Bentley | L | 61 - 76 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Southern Conn. St. | L | 39 - 70 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Saint Michael's | W | 81 - 66 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Saint Anselm | W | 67 - 52 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Pace | W | 67 - 50 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Southern N.H. | W | 92 - 85 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Franklin Pierce | W | 77 - 58 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea Reeves | - | 19 | 29.0 | 16.4 | 5.2 | 3.5 | 2.1 | 0.3 | 3.1 | 8.8 | 15.6 | 129 | 5.6 | 36.1 | 52.4 | 46.3 | 79.3 | 2.69 | 67.9 | 59.8 |
| Keyvanna Bennett | - | 19 | 28.8 | 13.9 | 8.0 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 2.6 | 13.4 | 9.3 | 142 | 6.2 | 35.6 | 42.0 | 28.6 | 71.0 | 4.8 | 46.4 | 42.4 |
| Ruzgar Christina Boyle | - | 19 | 26.9 | 12.3 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 12.6 | 3.7 | 66 | 2.8 | 20.7 | 37.5 | 31.4 | 64.3 | -1.91 | 47.3 | 46.7 |
| Tia-Marie Martinez | - | 19 | 26.6 | 8.4 | 2.8 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 6.6 | 6.8 | 113 | 5.1 | 30.7 | 41.6 | 44.1 | 100.0 | 3.65 | 60.8 | 58.0 |
| Eden Monka | - | 19 | 25.0 | 5.4 | 5.7 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 5.5 | 6.6 | 61 | 2.8 | 19.1 | 34.3 | 35.7 | 68.4 | 0.69 | 42.3 | 36.7 |
| Sarai Gurley | - | 19 | 15.7 | 4.2 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 3.4 | 10 | 0.4 | 4.7 | 38.2 | 35.3 | 45.5 | -3.21 | 46.7 | 46.1 |
| Peyton Grant | - | 18 | 11.9 | 3.7 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 3.4 | 2.2 | 55 | 2.5 | 37.8 | 38.7 | 34.7 | 50.0 | 0.41 | 52.5 | 52.4 |
| Ahliya Phillips | - | 19 | 15.5 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 58 | 2.4 | 22.8 | 25.0 | 15.4 | 63.2 | -1.21 | 33.7 | 27.1 |
| Jemima Lacroix | - | 13 | 8.4 | 1.9 | 2.6 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 2.0 | 3.5 | -4 | -0.3 | -5.3 | 23.1 | 0 | 86.7 | 1.47 | 38.3 | 23.1 |
| Masha Andrushchenko | - | 11 | 5.4 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 35 | 2.7 | 148.1 | 35.3 | 35.7 | 0 | 0.6 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Jada Bryant | - | 17 | 6.0 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 16 | 0.8 | 51.8 | 50.0 | 0 | 66.7 | -2.32 | 56.4 | 50.0 |
| Alicia Aznar Chamorro | - | 16 | 8.3 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 1.2 | -9 | -0.5 | -6.2 | 28.6 | 20.0 | 75.0 | 0.44 | 35.1 | 31.0 |
| Eunice M'Bikata | - | 9 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | -24 | -2.7 | -73.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.59 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG