Alvernia
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1012 (#227) | - |
| Bradley-Terry | 996 (#328) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency | 1000 (#441) | - |
| Margin | -4.3 (#235) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency | -9.5 (#492) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean | 0.504 (#447) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 0.309 (#445) | AdjO 96.5 | AdjD 103.5 |
| Log Adjusted | 0.286 (#452) | AdjO 93.3 | AdjD 101.0 |
| Points Off/Def | 0.396 (#444) | AdjO 60.7 | AdjD 65.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency | 0.393 (#543) | AdjO 57.5 | AdjD 62.3 |
| Core Ensemble | 0.389 (#463) | Blend of elo, bradley_terry_recency, margin_recency, pythagorean_log_adjusted, points_off_def |
| Recency Ensemble | 0.386 (#473) | Blend of elo, bradley_terry_recency, margin_recency, pythagorean_log_adjusted, points_off_def_recency |
| KenPom Kitchen Sink | 0.324 (#430) | - |
| Dynamic BT | 977 (#349) | HCA +45.0 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | vs | Notre Dame (MD) | W | 59 - 48 |
| 2025-11-10 | vs | Penn St. Brandywine | W | 82 - 31 |
| 2025-11-18 | vs | Ursinus | L | 49 - 51 |
| 2025-11-21 | @ | Penn St. Harrisburg | W | 74 - 69 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | McDaniel | L | 37 - 77 |
| 2025-12-01 | vs | Immaculata | L | 55 - 77 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Muhlenberg | L | 43 - 52 |
| 2025-12-29 | @ | Lehman | W | 78 - 72 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Stevenson | W | 56 - 52 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | York (PA) | L | 59 - 62 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Albright | L | 52 - 53 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Hood | W | 46 - 42 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Messiah | L | 42 - 57 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Eastern | L | 54 - 70 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Stevenson | W | 61 - 50 |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | York (PA) | W | 62 - 57 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Albright | W | 77 - 68 |
2026 Roster
No roster data available for this season.