Allen
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 848 (#245) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 760 (#288) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 818 (#587) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -7.3 (#276) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -9.1 (#454) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.306 (#249) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.958 (#150) | NetEff +26.3 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.212 (#283) | AdjNet -11.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.209 (#283) | AdjNet -11.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.323 (#280) | AdjO 64.9 | AdjD 73.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.312 (#535) | AdjO 71.0 | AdjD 79.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.230 (#517) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.237 (#519) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 745 (#495) | RD 116 | GP 20 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-18 | vs | Johnson C. Smith | W | 77 - 72 |
| 2025-11-20 | @ | Kentucky St. | L | 72 - 90 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Central St. (OH) | L | 75 - 99 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Livingstone | L | 84 - 93 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | LeMoyne-Owen | L | 66 - 68 |
| 2025-12-11 | @ | Tuskegee | L | 53 - 68 |
| 2025-12-17 | vs | Albany St. (GA) | L | 84 - 85 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Edward Waters | L | 62 - 82 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Benedict | L | 59 - 70 |
| 2026-01-19 | @ | Savannah St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | Kentucky St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Central St. (OH) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-30 | @ | Lane | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | LeMoyne-Owen | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-05 | vs | Tuskegee | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Miles | L | 72 - 78 |
| 2026-02-14 | @ | Benedict | W | 69 - 60 |
| 2026-02-16 | vs | Savannah St. | L | 65 - 67 |
| 2026-02-19 | @ | Albany St. (GA) | L | 78 - 85 |
| 2026-02-21 | @ | Spring Hill | W | 82 - 74 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordahn Johnson | - | 7 | 23.3 | 14.9 | 6.7 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 2.6 | 9.7 | 10.9 | - | - | - | - | 67.6 | 0 | 48.0 | - | 65.8 | 67.6 |
| Christopher McKnight | - | 3 | 25.7 | 10.7 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 12.0 | 2.3 | - | - | - | - | 25.0 | 31.2 | 75.0 | - | 38.8 | 31.9 |
| Tavaris Bell | - | 8 | 26.6 | 9.5 | 3.6 | 3.8 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 3.6 | 10.1 | 5.0 | - | - | - | - | 38.3 | 10.5 | 66.7 | - | 42.7 | 39.5 |
| Ky'Den Mays | - | 7 | 26.6 | 9.1 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 2.4 | 6.7 | 6.7 | - | - | - | - | 48.9 | 18.2 | 76.2 | - | 56.9 | 51.1 |
| Kevan Eskridge | - | 7 | 22.5 | 8.9 | 4.6 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 7.6 | 5.4 | - | - | - | - | 49.1 | 14.3 | 75.0 | - | 53.2 | 50.0 |
| Ashton Henderson | - | 8 | 16.8 | 8.4 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 5.6 | 5.0 | - | - | - | - | 48.9 | 15.4 | 91.3 | - | 60.8 | 51.1 |
| Jaren Phillips | - | 12 | 16.3 | 6.8 | 3.1 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 5.9 | 4.2 | - | - | - | - | 39.4 | 28.6 | 65.2 | - | 49.9 | 46.5 |
| Sterling Blakely | - | 12 | 17.6 | 6.7 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 6.2 | 3.3 | - | - | - | - | 34.7 | 37.5 | 61.9 | - | 47.5 | 44.7 |
| Charles Winters | - | 5 | 22.8 | 6.0 | 2.6 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 4.4 | 4.0 | - | - | - | - | 27.3 | 0.0 | 66.7 | - | 44.3 | 27.3 |
| Jacquez Shuler | - | 11 | 22.9 | 5.8 | 4.5 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 4.7 | 7.6 | - | - | - | - | 44.2 | 40.7 | 63.6 | - | 56.3 | 54.8 |
| Julian McGowan | - | 13 | 14.1 | 4.9 | 2.7 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 3.7 | 3.8 | - | - | - | - | 50.0 | 33.3 | 66.7 | - | 55.9 | 52.1 |
| Naji Wright | - | 13 | 17.1 | 4.3 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 4.0 | 2.2 | - | - | - | - | 34.6 | 21.4 | 70.8 | - | 44.8 | 37.5 |
| Blair Crutcher | - | 4 | 13.6 | 3.5 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.2 | 4.0 | - | - | - | - | 55.6 | 50.0 | 50.0 | - | 65.1 | 66.7 |
| Baker Beal | - | 1 | 7.8 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG