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Alice Lloyd

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Alice Lloyd
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 968 (#280) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 906 (#434) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 986 (#370) HCA +95 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -14.6 (#501) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.216 (#477) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -11.0 More → 0.220 (#536) AdjNet -11.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -10.8 More → 0.221 (#536) AdjNet -10.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 74.0 | AdjD 82.6 More → 0.314 (#543) AdjO 74.0 | AdjD 82.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.2 | AdjD 75.8 More → 0.442 (#406) AdjO 73.2 | AdjD 75.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.291 (#480) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.316 (#461) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 346 | GP 1 More → 839 (#426) RD 346 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-12-02 @ King (TN) L 72 - 87

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Alex Rasnick - 1 18.4 12.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 11.0 4.0 - - - 36.4 57.1 0 - 54.5 54.5
Evin Eversole - 1 23.1 11.0 10.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 10.0 8.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 33.3 - 48.6 50.0
Naz Welch - 1 16.6 9.0 5.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 11.0 - - - 44.4 50.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Landon Napier - 1 24.0 9.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 9.0 4.0 - - - 44.4 25.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Devontae Robinson - 1 5.8 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 2.0 85 4.2 69.8 50.0 50.0 0 3.48 75.0 75.0
Tayson Parks - 1 11.2 6.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 2.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Ben Soumahoro - 1 20.9 6.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 5.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Desmier Hatchett - 1 21.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 6.0 - - - 28.6 0.0 0 - 28.6 28.6
Jacob Curry - 1 15.6 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 -2.0 53 4.8 18.9 16.7 16.7 0 2.18 25.0 25.0
Jared Strickland - 1 3.7 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 - - - 50.0 50.0 0 - 75.0 75.0
Brady Nelson - 1 8.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -2.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Kaleb Walker - 1 3.7 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 57 2.9 9.8 0 0 0 0.97 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG