Alfred St.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1123 (#112) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 951 (#399) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 913 (#597) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -16.9 (#372) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -23.9 (#639) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.257 (#557) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.695 (#281) | NetEff +5.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.012 (#662) | AdjNet -37.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.010 (#660) | AdjNet -38.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.093 (#664) | AdjO 48.3 | AdjD 73.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.168 (#675) | AdjO 51.5 | AdjD 69.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.105 (#659) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.117 (#657) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 850 (#462) | RD 79 | GP 39 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | vs | Penn College | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-08 | vs | Hollins | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-09 | vs | Brenau | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Thiel | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Bard | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-18 | @ | SUNY Cobleskill | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-18 | vs | Oglethorpe | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | William Peace | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Elmira | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Warren Wilson | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Emory | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Keuka | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | SUNY Poly | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-10 | vs | Penn St.-Behrend | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Pitt.-Greensburg | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-15 | @ | Berry | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-17 | @ | USC Upstate | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-19 | @ | Huntingdon | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-31 | @ | Keystone | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-31 | @ | Middle Georgia | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-02 | vs | Belhaven | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Asbury | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-06 | @ | Piedmont | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Penn St.-Altoona | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Maryville (TN) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-13 | vs | Covenant | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Pitt.-Bradford | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Mount Aloysius | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | LaGrange | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-20 | vs | Wesleyan (GA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-22 | @ | Hilbert | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Pitt.-Greensburg | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Penn St.-Behrend | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Carlow | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Pitt.-Bradford | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Mount Aloysius | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Makayla Ford | - | 1 | 28.0 | 14.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 18.0 | 9.0 | 52 | 3.5 | 26.4 | 27.8 | 22.2 | 100.0 | 0.16 | 37.1 | 33.3 |
| Taylor Benjamin | - | 19 | 30.1 | 11.6 | 6.1 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 2.1 | 12.2 | 8.8 | 103 | 5.2 | 34.6 | 31.9 | 30.0 | 60.7 | 0.63 | 42.7 | 39.7 |
| Alex McElroy | - | 4 | 31.0 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 11.8 | 2.0 | -144 | -13.1 | -42.7 | 34.0 | 17.4 | 80.0 | 0.07 | 42.8 | 38.3 |
| Emeline Barton | - | 19 | 34.9 | 10.8 | 7.7 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 3.4 | 10.3 | 10.1 | 143 | 6.8 | 39.4 | 37.8 | 30.8 | 69.2 | 0.47 | 44.7 | 38.8 |
| Sarah Somers | - | 10 | 23.0 | 10.1 | 7.2 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 3.8 | 9.1 | 8.4 | - | - | - | 46.2 | 0.0 | 53.1 | 0.52 | 48.1 | 46.2 |
| Anissa Brailsford | - | 14 | 27.8 | 9.4 | 7.7 | 1.1 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 4.0 | 8.4 | 9.0 | -267 | -12.7 | -75.1 | 38.1 | 26.3 | 58.5 | -1.89 | 46.3 | 42.4 |
| Charity Shaw | - | 1 | 12.0 | 9.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 33 | 2.1 | 27.3 | 37.5 | 0 | 75.0 | -1.36 | 46.1 | 37.5 |
| Jordan Niles | - | 19 | 25.8 | 8.5 | 5.3 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 2.2 | 8.6 | 6.1 | 89 | 4.5 | 41.2 | 33.7 | 23.3 | 54.5 | -0.18 | 41.1 | 36.8 |
| Dalyce Sanders | - | 1 | 18.0 | 8.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 33 | 2.1 | 53.0 | 37.5 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.17 | 45.0 | 37.5 |
| Ashanti Thomas | - | 1 | 13.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 56 | 3.5 | 98.1 | 57.1 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.28 | 48.1 | 57.1 |
| Alyssa Auer | - | 19 | 26.7 | 7.5 | 4.3 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 2.4 | 7.9 | 4.9 | 87 | 4.3 | 29.2 | 36.0 | 47.4 | 59.1 | 0.72 | 42.2 | 39.0 |
| Kaycie Hyde | - | 14 | 31.8 | 7.4 | 3.9 | 2.8 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 4.5 | 7.1 | 3.9 | -277 | -14.6 | -78.6 | 39.0 | 31.0 | 72.7 | -3.17 | 47.0 | 43.5 |
| Cybele Forbes | - | 14 | 20.5 | 7.1 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 7.1 | 4.1 | -141 | -7.4 | -54.1 | 31.3 | 23.1 | 61.0 | 0.84 | 42.3 | 37.4 |
| Damaris Gaines | - | 13 | 25.4 | 6.7 | 3.2 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 3.5 | 6.3 | 2.0 | -237 | -13.2 | -114.0 | 35.4 | 14.3 | 52.9 | -3.16 | 41.7 | 36.6 |
| Kirsten Merritt | - | 18 | 15.4 | 6.2 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 7.2 | 0.6 | 64 | 3.4 | 38.4 | 29.2 | 25.0 | 61.9 | -1.91 | 39.9 | 37.7 |
| Abby Byrd | - | 1 | 14.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | -3 | -0.2 | -2.5 | 42.9 | 0 | 0.0 | -3.07 | 40.3 | 42.9 |
| Kiya Crayton | - | 1 | 14.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 55 | 3.4 | 51.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 100.0 | 1.71 | 104.2 | 100.0 |
| Jayla Carter | - | 1 | 20.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 8.0 | 38 | 2.5 | 72.1 | 28.6 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.57 | 34.2 | 28.6 |
| Taylor Searle | - | 19 | 19.4 | 5.8 | 4.4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 6.6 | 3.8 | 63 | 3.1 | 21.3 | 32.0 | 29.5 | 56.7 | -0.99 | 39.8 | 37.2 |
| Ryley Jolly | - | 12 | 23.9 | 5.7 | 4.2 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 0.1 | 5.4 | 7.1 | 0.2 | -157 | -8.7 | -64.2 | 29.4 | 3.7 | 43.6 | -0.65 | 33.3 | 30.0 |
| Mallory Sprissler | - | 14 | 16.8 | 4.6 | 4.7 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 4.6 | 6.9 | 79 | 4.9 | 62.2 | 40.0 | 11.1 | 75.0 | 1.48 | 45.1 | 40.8 |
| Triniti Walker | - | 8 | 17.1 | 4.4 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 6.0 | 0.8 | -116 | -8.9 | -59.6 | 20.8 | 26.5 | 60.0 | -3.45 | 33.4 | 30.2 |
| Jillian Baine | - | 1 | 13.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.48 | 42.0 | 0.0 |
| Taff Bradley | - | 1 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 8 | 1.6 | 31.0 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -1.39 | 51.5 | 33.3 |
| Ava Hendrie | - | 14 | 16.9 | 3.4 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 5.2 | 0.1 | -235 | -12.4 | -136.7 | 17.8 | 19.0 | 64.3 | -4.85 | 29.7 | 26.0 |
| Lexxi Romero-Williams | - | 13 | 23.5 | 3.3 | 3.2 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 1.4 | -100 | -5.9 | -49.8 | 26.2 | 14.3 | 42.9 | -0.34 | 31.6 | 30.8 |
| Erica Rodriguez | - | 1 | 14.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | -1.0 | -16 | -1.5 | -21.9 | 16.7 | 25.0 | 0 | -4.93 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Deshauna Foote | - | 1 | 19.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 56 | 3.5 | 25.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 75.0 | -0.91 | 22.2 | 0.0 |
| Jenna George | - | 15 | 10.6 | 2.6 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 59 | 4.2 | 40.2 | 42.1 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.47 | 44.2 | 42.1 |
| Jonah Wood | - | 14 | 15.7 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 3.4 | 0.6 | -207 | -10.3 | -123.4 | 25.0 | 22.2 | 0.0 | -3.34 | 34.8 | 35.4 |
| Ariana Abner | - | 1 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | -10 | -1.1 | -24.5 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | -4.11 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Kaylee Putnam | - | 1 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Katlyn Mathis | - | 1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 8 | 2.7 | 47.2 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Finley Harwood | - | 11 | 5.5 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.1 | -2 | -0.2 | -3.0 | 23.5 | 14.3 | 66.7 | -5.12 | 33.1 | 26.5 |
| Makenna Manning | - | 1 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 8 | 0.5 | 9.8 | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.06 | 26.6 | 0.0 |
| Ericka Hall | - | 1 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 56.8 | 0 |
| Dre'Ahnna Devers | - | 5 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 3 | 0.5 | 21.8 | 25.0 | 25.0 | 50.0 | - | 41.0 | 37.5 |
| Alana Wilson | - | 15 | 5.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 35 | 2.2 | 47.6 | 17.6 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.78 | 26.9 | 17.6 |
| Abi Pollett | - | 4 | 9.3 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.8 | -1.8 | - | - | - | 9.1 | 12.5 | 0 | 1.12 | 13.6 | 13.6 |
| Anna Merry | - | 8 | 5.9 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 14.3 | 0.0 | 0.54 | 13.8 | 15.0 |
| Katy Lenahan | - | 8 | 4.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.1 | -0.6 | -8 | -0.9 | -21.5 | 11.1 | 0.0 | 0 | -2.19 | 11.1 | 11.1 |
| Amiyah Jackson | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 72 | 3.8 | 23.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.52 | 0 | 0 |
| KJ Jones | - | 1 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 38 | 2.9 | 46.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.31 | 0 | 0 |
| Alaysha Barton | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG