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Alfred St.

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2020 2019 2017 2016 2015
Also known as: Alfred St.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1110 (#60) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 925 (#435) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 913 (#597) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -18.0 (#345) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → -23.9 (#639) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.257 (#557) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +5.1 More → 0.695 (#281) NetEff +5.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -37.9 More → 0.012 (#662) AdjNet -37.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -38.9 More → 0.010 (#660) AdjNet -38.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 48.3 | AdjD 73.4 More → 0.093 (#664) AdjO 48.3 | AdjD 73.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 51.5 | AdjD 69.1 More → 0.168 (#675) AdjO 51.5 | AdjD 69.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.105 (#659) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.117 (#657) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 79 | GP 39 More → 852 (#457) RD 79 | GP 39

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 vs Penn College L 56 - 65
2025-11-08 vs Hollins L 44 - 59
2025-11-09 vs Brenau L 50 - 79
2025-11-14 vs Thiel L 71 - 79
2025-11-15 vs Bard W 59 - 45
2025-11-18 @ SUNY Cobleskill L 40 - 49
2025-11-18 vs Oglethorpe L 39 - 65
2025-11-21 vs William Peace L 56 - 87
2025-11-22 @ Elmira L 54 - 69
2025-11-22 vs Warren Wilson W 75 - 68
2025-11-25 @ Emory L 51 - 118
2025-11-25 vs Keuka W 63 - 51
2025-12-03 vs SUNY Poly W 65 - 53
2025-12-10 vs Penn St.-Behrend L 47 - 59
2025-12-13 @ Pitt.-Greensburg W 56 - 50
2025-12-15 @ Berry L 33 - 107
2025-12-17 @ USC Upstate L 39 - 112
2025-12-19 @ Huntingdon L 43 - 78
2025-12-31 @ Keystone W 61 - 35
2025-12-31 @ Middle Georgia L 36 - 72
2026-01-02 vs Belhaven L 60 - 80
2026-01-03 vs Asbury L 27 - 82
2026-01-06 @ Piedmont L 50 - 72
2026-01-10 @ Penn St.-Altoona L 57 - 77
2026-01-10 @ Maryville (TN) L 39 - 92
2026-01-13 vs Covenant L 29 - 62
2026-01-14 @ Pitt.-Bradford W 70 - 50
2026-01-17 vs Mount Aloysius W 69 - 60
2026-01-17 vs LaGrange L 65 - 83
2026-01-20 vs Wesleyan (GA) W 76 - 59
2026-01-22 @ Hilbert W 74 - 60
2026-01-24 vs Pitt.-Greensburg W 81 - 50
2026-01-28 @ Penn St.-Behrend L 67 - 72
2026-01-31 @ Carlow W 61 - 49
2026-02-04 vs Pitt.-Bradford W 85 - 59
2026-02-07 @ Mount Aloysius W 74 - 67

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Makayla Ford - 1 28.0 14.0 5.0 2.0 8.0 1.0 3.0 18.0 9.0 52 3.5 26.4 27.8 22.2 100.0 -0.14 37.1 33.3
Taylor Benjamin - 19 30.1 11.6 6.1 2.0 2.4 1.0 2.1 12.2 8.8 103 5.2 34.6 31.9 30.0 60.7 0.1 42.7 39.7
Alex McElroy - 4 31.0 11.0 2.0 1.2 2.5 0.0 3.0 11.8 2.0 -144 -13.1 -42.7 34.0 17.4 80.0 -1.65 42.8 38.3
Emeline Barton - 19 34.9 10.8 7.7 2.7 2.3 0.3 3.4 10.3 10.1 143 6.8 39.4 37.8 30.8 69.2 1.75 44.7 38.8
Sarah Somers - 10 23.0 10.1 7.2 2.1 1.0 0.9 3.8 9.1 8.4 - - - 46.2 0.0 53.1 - 48.1 46.2
Charity Shaw - 1 12.0 9.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 4.0 33 2.1 27.3 37.5 0 75.0 0.4 46.1 37.5
Jordan Niles - 19 25.8 8.5 5.3 1.3 1.7 0.0 2.2 8.6 6.1 89 4.5 41.2 33.7 23.3 54.5 -0.6 41.1 36.8
Anissa Brailsford - 16 26.9 8.3 7.4 1.2 1.9 1.0 3.9 8.2 7.8 -267 -12.7 -75.1 34.4 22.2 57.9 -0.45 42.6 38.2
Dalyce Sanders - 1 18.0 8.0 9.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 8.0 33 2.1 53.0 37.5 0.0 100.0 -2.92 45.0 37.5
Ashanti Thomas - 1 13.0 8.0 10.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 10.0 56 3.5 98.1 57.1 0 0.0 0.41 48.1 57.1
Alyssa Auer - 19 26.7 7.5 4.3 1.7 1.6 0.1 2.4 7.9 4.9 87 4.3 29.2 36.0 47.4 59.1 2.07 42.2 39.0
Cybele Forbes - 16 20.8 7.3 2.2 0.4 1.2 2.1 2.0 7.1 4.2 -141 -7.4 -54.1 31.9 24.1 62.0 1.97 43.3 38.1
Kaycie Hyde - 16 31.3 7.2 3.6 2.6 1.6 0.0 4.2 7.3 3.4 -277 -14.6 -78.6 36.8 27.0 74.1 -3.77 45.0 41.0
Damaris Gaines - 15 26.1 7.0 3.0 0.5 1.5 0.1 3.5 6.6 2.0 -237 -13.2 -114.0 36.4 22.2 52.7 -1.09 42.6 38.4
Kirsten Merritt - 18 15.4 6.2 0.9 1.0 0.8 0.2 1.2 7.2 0.6 64 3.4 38.4 29.2 25.0 61.9 -3.7 39.9 37.7
Abby Byrd - 1 14.0 6.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 2.0 -3 -0.2 -2.5 42.9 0 0.0 -0.96 40.3 42.9
Kiya Crayton - 1 14.0 6.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 5.0 55 3.4 51.0 100.0 0 100.0 -1.43 104.2 100.0
Jayla Carter - 1 20.0 6.0 7.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 8.0 38 2.5 72.1 28.6 0 50.0 0.98 34.2 28.6
Taylor Searle - 19 19.4 5.8 4.4 0.5 0.6 0.2 1.1 6.6 3.8 63 3.1 21.3 32.0 29.5 56.7 1.67 39.8 37.2
Ryley Jolly - 13 23.5 5.4 3.9 0.7 1.9 0.1 5.2 6.8 0.1 -157 -8.7 -64.2 29.5 3.6 43.6 -1.64 33.3 30.1
Mallory Sprissler - 14 16.8 4.6 4.7 2.0 1.3 0.4 1.5 4.6 6.9 79 4.9 62.2 40.0 11.1 75.0 -3.17 45.1 40.8
Triniti Walker - 10 18.3 4.3 2.3 0.7 0.7 0.0 1.4 6.0 0.6 -116 -8.9 -59.6 21.7 25.0 60.0 -1.66 33.4 30.8
Jillian Baine - 1 13.0 4.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 4.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 100.0 - 42.0 0.0
Taff Bradley - 1 6.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 4.0 8 1.6 31.0 33.3 0.0 100.0 -1.0 51.5 33.3
Ava Hendrie - 16 17.5 3.2 2.2 0.5 0.8 0.2 1.7 5.2 0.0 -235 -12.4 -136.7 16.9 18.1 68.8 -3.05 28.9 24.7
Lexxi Romero-Williams - 15 23.7 3.1 3.1 1.6 1.3 0.1 2.9 4.8 1.4 -100 -5.9 -49.8 25.0 14.6 33.3 0.67 30.3 29.9
Erica Rodriguez - 1 14.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 -1.0 -16 -1.5 -21.9 16.7 25.0 0 -2.07 25.0 25.0
Deshauna Foote - 1 19.0 3.0 2.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 5.0 5.0 1.0 56 3.5 25.7 0.0 0.0 75.0 -1.0 22.2 0.0
Jenna George - 15 10.6 2.6 1.5 0.6 1.1 0.4 1.0 2.5 2.7 59 4.2 40.2 42.1 0.0 50.0 1.69 44.2 42.1
Jonah Wood - 16 16.1 2.5 2.1 0.1 0.4 0.1 1.2 3.6 0.4 -207 -10.3 -123.4 24.1 21.8 0.0 -1.86 34.0 34.5
Ariana Abner - 1 8.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 -10 -1.1 -24.5 50.0 0 0 -1.26 50.0 50.0
Kaylee Putnam - 1 4.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Katlyn Mathis - 1 1.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 8 2.7 47.2 50.0 0.0 0 -0.16 50.0 50.0
Finley Harwood - 11 5.5 1.2 0.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.5 1.5 0.1 -2 -0.2 -3.0 23.5 14.3 66.7 -4.09 33.1 26.5
Ericka Hall - 1 2.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0 0.0 0.0 0 0 50.0 -0.2 56.8 0
Makenna Manning - 1 6.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 8 0.5 9.8 0.0 0 50.0 -1.8 26.6 0.0
Dre'Ahnna Devers - 5 1.8 0.8 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.4 3 0.5 21.8 25.0 25.0 50.0 -0.41 41.0 37.5
Alana Wilson - 15 5.8 0.8 0.8 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.7 1.1 0.2 35 2.2 47.6 17.6 0.0 50.0 -0.65 26.9 17.6
Abi Pollett - 4 9.3 0.8 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.8 -1.8 - - - 9.1 12.5 0 - 13.6 13.6
Anna Merry - 8 5.9 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.2 0.1 0 0.0 0.0 10.0 14.3 0.0 1.48 13.8 15.0
Katy Lenahan - 8 4.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 1.1 -0.6 -8 -0.9 -21.5 11.1 0.0 0 -1.83 11.1 11.1
Amiyah Jackson - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 72 3.8 23.9 0 0 0 2.1 0 0
KJ Jones - 1 12.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 38 2.9 46.0 0 0 0 2.3 0 0
Alaysha Barton - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG