🐻⬇️🏀

Alcorn

Season: 2026 2025
Also known as: Alcorn
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1025 (#293) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 1012 (#353) HCA +62 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → -0.2 (#372) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.997 (#136) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +30.9 More → 0.986 (#93) NetEff +30.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +12.3 More → 0.806 (#271) AdjNet +12.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +11.5 More → 0.801 (#272) AdjNet +11.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 74.1 | AdjD 62.9 More → 0.733 (#217) AdjO 74.1 | AdjD 62.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 62.6 | AdjD 60.5 More → 0.547 (#307) AdjO 62.6 | AdjD 60.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.568 (#317) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.564 (#327) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 1070 (#226) RD 350 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-05 vs MUW W 81 - 56

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Nakia Cheathman - 1 25.2 24.0 9.0 4.0 4.0 2.0 1.0 17.0 25.0 - - - 52.9 25.0 71.4 - 59.8 55.9
Kiarra Henderson - 1 22.7 10.0 6.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 7.0 21.0 - - - 71.4 0.0 0 - 71.4 71.4
Jazlyn Johnson - 1 13.6 8.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 1.0 88 4.9 29.8 42.9 40.0 0 1.84 57.1 57.1
Chrishunti Walker - 1 15.4 8.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 8.0 5.0 - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Lauren Nelson - 1 16.3 8.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 6.0 - - - 80.0 0 0 - 80.0 80.0
Ja'Sharreah Hunt - 1 16.5 7.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 7.0 3.0 - - - 28.6 0 100.0 - 42.1 28.6
Maya Claytor - 1 23.7 6.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 4.0 - - - 33.3 40.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Dalayja Hurt-Floyd - 1 19.3 5.0 4.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 4.0 9.0 - - - 50.0 33.3 0 - 62.5 62.5
Leyah Houston - 1 9.4 2.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 9.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Milaan Moore - 1 9.1 2.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 5.0 1.0 - - - 20.0 0 0 - 20.0 20.0
Ariyah Burke - 1 5.3 1.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 -2 -0.5 -5.1 0.0 0 50.0 0.83 26.6 0.0
Jeanee Anderson - 1 7.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Arene Iyekekpolor - 1 8.6 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 -3.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Frances Anyakudo - 1 7.9 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -2.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG