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Alcorn State

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: Alcorn State Lady Braves
Program History
Coach: Nate Kilbert

2027 Team Stats (1 games)

38.0
PPG
80.0
Opp
-42.0
Margin
31.3%
FG%
8.3%
3P%
70.0%
FT%
28.0
RPG
12.0
APG
26.0
TO
71.4
Est. poss./game
51.2
Adj PPG
62.2
Adj Opp PPG
#333
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 747 (returning production + recruiting): last season 905, returning -99, transfers -60, freshmen +0 More → 746 (#322) Preseason prior 747 (returning production + recruiting): last season 905, returning -99, transfers -60, freshmen +0
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 801 (#320) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +225 elo More → 901 (#320) HCA +225 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +9.3 More → -19.4 (#345) HCA +9.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +9.3 More → -18.8 (#343) HCA +9.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.034 (#345) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -26.4 More → 0.181 (#340) AdjNet -26.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -26.7 More → 0.173 (#340) AdjNet -26.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 51.2 | AdjD 62.2 More → 0.219 (#333) AdjO 51.2 | AdjD 62.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 51.2 | AdjD 62.2 More → 0.273 (#335) AdjO 51.2 | AdjD 62.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.169 (#339) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.178 (#340) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 219 | GP 1 More → 790 (#323) RD 219 | GP 1

2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-02 @ Ole Miss Rebels L 38 - 80
2026-11-11 vs Mississippi U for Women Owls - Preview

2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jada Morgan Jada Morgan G 1 20.0 8.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 6.0 9.0 -2.0 -23 1 -23.0 -45.5 22.2 0.0 100.0 -1.74 37.2 22.2
Jae'la Smith Jae'la Smith G 1 25.0 8.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 10.0 -1.0 -17 1 -17.0 -27.6 40.0 0.0 0 -0.87 40.0 40.0
Lauren Nelson Lauren Nelson F 1 25.0 6.0 3.0 4.0 2.0 1.0 3.0 4.0 9.0 -28 1 -28.0 -44.0 75.0 0.0 0 -2.02 75.0 75.0
Chrishunti Walker Chrishunti Walker C 1 25.0 6.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 3.0 - - - - 37.5 0.0 0 - 37.5 37.5
Arene Iyekekpolor Arene Iyekekpolor F 1 16.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 5.0 -12 1 -12.0 -30.5 50.0 100.0 50.0 -0.18 69.4 75.0
Jazlyn Johnson Jazlyn Johnson G 1 26.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 5.0 -36 1 -36.0 -56.0 50.0 0 0 -3.48 50.0 50.0
Ariyah Burke Ariyah Burke G 1 14.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 -3.0 -14 1 -14.0 -41.4 0.0 0 50.0 -1.68 17.4 0.0
Dekyra Mitchell Dekyra Mitchell G 1 22.0 1.0 4.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 4.0 7.0 -1.0 -21 1 -21.0 -37.8 0.0 0.0 50.0 -1.21 6.3 0.0
Frances Anyakudo Frances Anyakudo G 1 11.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 -6 1 -6.0 -21.8 0 0 0 -0.63 0 0
Jayda Bowen Jayda Bowen G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Leyah Houston Leyah Houston F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Milaan Moore Milaan Moore F 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -3 1 -3.0 -46.5 0 0 0 -0.67 0 0
Fatime Seck Fatime Seck G 1 13.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -1.0 -19 1 -19.0 -54.5 0.0 0.0 0 -2.03 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026-2027 Shot Zones

48 located field-goal attempts in 1 game (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Walker40% Nelson43% Smith100% Smith100% Iyekekpolor100%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Mitchell100% Walker30% Smith100% Iyekekpolor50% Morgan43% Mitchell33% Seck100% Mitchell29%
Misses: who misses most here

Jae'la SmithChrishunti WalkerLauren NelsonJada MorganArene IyekekpolorDekyra MitchellFatime Seck

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 5-6 83.3 10 Chrishunti Walker 40% (4 pts) Jazlyn Johnson 40% (4 pts) Dekyra Mitchell 100% (1 misses) -
Paint (non-RA) 7-17 41.2 14 Lauren Nelson 43% (6 pts) Jada Morgan 29% (4 pts) Chrishunti Walker 30% (3 misses) Ariyah Burke 20% (2 misses)
Mid-range left 0-2 0.0 0 - - Jae'la Smith 100% (2 misses) -
Mid-range center 1-3 33.3 2 Jae'la Smith 100% (2 pts) - Arene Iyekekpolor 50% (1 misses) Dekyra Mitchell 50% (1 misses)
Mid-range right 1-8 12.5 2 Jae'la Smith 100% (2 pts) - Jada Morgan 43% (3 misses) Dekyra Mitchell 29% (2 misses)
Left corner 3 0-0 - 0 - - - -
Right corner 3 0-0 - 0 - - - -
Above-break 3 left 0-3 0.0 0 - - Dekyra Mitchell 33% (1 misses) Fatime Seck 33% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 center 0-1 0.0 0 - - Fatime Seck 100% (1 misses) -
Above-break 3 right 1-8 12.5 3 Arene Iyekekpolor 100% (3 pts) - Dekyra Mitchell 29% (2 misses) Jada Morgan 29% (2 misses)