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Alcorn State

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Alcorn State Braves
Program History
Coach: Landon Bussie

2016 Team Stats (3 games)

66.0
PPG
59.0
Opp
+7.0
Margin
42.2%
FG%
18.5%
3P%
65.8%
FT%
35.7
RPG
7.7
APG
14.7
TO
-
Est. poss./game
63.0
Adj PPG
75.4
Adj Opp PPG
#328
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2015-2016
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 792 (#290) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 891 (#244) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +98 elo More → 1012 (#152) HCA +98 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → -13.5 (#329) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → -9.7 (#298) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.267 (#287) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -20.5 More → 0.086 (#336) AdjNet -20.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -20.8 More → 0.083 (#336) AdjNet -20.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 63.0 | AdjD 75.4 More → 0.245 (#328) AdjO 63.0 | AdjD 75.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 66.4 | AdjD 70.5 More → 0.409 (#250) AdjO 66.4 | AdjD 70.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.249 (#303) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.278 (#290) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 137 | GP 28 More → 882 (#253) RD 137 | GP 28

2016 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2015-11-19 @ Grand Canyon Lopes L 46 - 79
2015-11-22 @ UTEP Miners L 66 - 88
2015-11-24 @ Portland Pilots L 65 - 97
2015-11-27 vs Oakland Golden Grizzlies L 51 - 84
2015-11-28 vs Florida A&M Rattlers L 71 - 73
2015-11-30 @ Indiana Hoosiers L 70 - 112
2015-12-05 @ Mercer Bears L 43 - 68
2015-12-14 vs Blue Mountain Christian Toppers W 68 - 60
2015-12-19 @ Tennessee State Tigers L 76 - 81
2015-12-21 @ UT Martin Skyhawks L 47 - 70
2015-12-30 vs Louisiana Christian Wildcats W 81 - 69
2016-01-02 @ Prairie View A&M Panthers W 73 - 70
2016-01-04 @ Texas Southern Tigers L 58 - 74
2016-01-09 vs Jackson State Tigers L 71 - 80
2016-01-11 vs Grambling Tigers W 69 - 53
2016-01-16 @ Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils W 93 - 87
2016-01-18 @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions W 73 - 65
2016-01-23 vs Alabama A&M Bulldogs W 63 - 58
2016-01-25 vs Alabama State Hornets W 77 - 72
2016-01-30 @ Southern Jaguars L 64 - 75
2016-02-06 @ Jackson State Tigers W 72 - 64
2016-02-08 @ Grambling Tigers W 66 - 63
2016-02-13 vs Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils W 72 - 71
2016-02-15 vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions W 79 - 60
2016-02-20 @ Alabama A&M Bulldogs W 62 - 58
2016-02-22 @ Alabama State Hornets L 59 - 73
2016-02-27 vs Southern Jaguars W 70 - 56
2016-03-03 vs Prairie View A&M Panthers W 81 - 64
2016-03-05 vs Texas Southern Tigers L 66 - 76
2016-03-09 vs Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils L 61 - 64

2016 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Octavius Brown Octavius Brown F 17 31.3 13.4 7.4 0.9 0.8 1.1 2.1 1.4 20.2 -29 5 -5.8 -8.0 47.8 28.6 58.3 -0.74 401.3 52.2
Tamarcio Wilson Tamarcio Wilson G 23 30.6 12.1 3.1 1.5 0.7 0.0 2.8 1.5 13.3 -76 8 -9.5 -14.4 32.4 23.5 83.3 -0.96 355.1 38.2
Devonte Hampton Devonte Hampton G 22 29.7 8.4 3.7 2.3 1.0 0.3 2.4 1.0 12.3 -61 8 -7.6 -11.9 36.4 16.7 83.3 -0.08 373.4 40.9
Patrick Onwenu Patrick Onwenu F 3 21.7 8.0 3.7 1.3 0.0 1.0 1.3 3.7 9.0 -92 8 -11.5 -22.9 63.6 0 66.7 -4.04 68.2 63.6
Marquis Vance Marquis Vance F 24 30.0 8.0 5.4 2.0 0.4 0.6 2.1 1.0 13.3 -114 9 -12.7 -18.4 41.7 42.9 62.5 -2.55 348.8 54.2
Deandre Davis Deandre Davis F 24 17.9 7.0 4.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.0 0.8 10.6 -87 9 -9.7 -23.9 80.0 0.0 42.9 -4.92 364.0 80.0
Reginald Johnson Reginald Johnson F 24 17.6 6.9 2.8 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.8 0.9 8.9 -78 9 -8.7 -19.0 42.9 0.0 50.0 -2.71 362.5 42.9
Tyrel Hunt Tyrel Hunt F 23 14.1 4.0 1.8 0.5 0.4 0.1 1.0 0.6 5.2 -53 8 -6.6 -18.7 50.0 33.3 65.2 -0.48 188.6 53.6
Rahamanh Katumbusi Rahamanh Katumbusi G 21 9.8 2.4 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.5 0.9 2.0 -53 7 -7.6 -41.7 36.8 55.6 57.1 -4.49 113.2 50.0
Malachy Onwudiegwu Malachy Onwudiegwu G 19 10.5 2.1 0.7 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.9 0.4 1.8 -68 6 -11.3 -30.7 25.0 14.3 80.0 -3.47 196.1 31.2
Juwan Henderson Juwan Henderson G 3 11.3 2.0 2.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 1.3 0.0 3.3 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Shawn Willett Shawn Willett G 10 8.3 1.3 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.8 0.4 1.9 - - - - 25.0 0.0 75.0 -3.91 112.8 25.0
TyQuayion Smith TyQuayion Smith F 10 3.4 0.7 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 3 5 0.6 7.0 66.7 0 50.0 1.26 90.2 66.7

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG