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Alcorn State

Also known as: Alcorn State Braves
Program History

2010 Team Stats (2 games)

45.5
PPG
99.0
Opp
-53.5
Margin
29.2%
FG%
30.8%
3P%
48.6%
FT%
33.0
RPG
8.0
APG
21.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
57.7
Adj PPG
83.5
Adj Opp PPG
#347
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2009-2010
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 394 (#347) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 548 (#346) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +96 elo More โ†’ 832 (#341) HCA +96 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More โ†’ -27.3 (#347) HCA +3.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ -23.8 (#347) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.030 (#347) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -37.8 More โ†’ 0.012 (#347) AdjNet -37.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -38.4 More โ†’ 0.011 (#347) AdjNet -38.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 57.7 | AdjD 83.5 More โ†’ 0.088 (#347) AdjO 57.7 | AdjD 83.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 60.7 | AdjD 76.8 More โ†’ 0.189 (#347) AdjO 60.7 | AdjD 76.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.062 (#347) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.073 (#347) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 155 | GP 31 More โ†’ 538 (#347) RD 155 | GP 31

2010 Schedule & Results

2010 Roster

No roster data available for this season.