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Alcorn State

Also known as: Alcorn State Braves
Program History

2006 Team Stats (1 games)

52.0
PPG
69.0
Opp
-17.0
Margin
32.1%
FG%
12.5%
3P%
86.7%
FT%
37.0
RPG
10.0
APG
21.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
62.4
Adj PPG
73.5
Adj Opp PPG
#309
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2005-2006
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 728 (#307) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 797 (#297) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +97 elo More โ†’ 935 (#260) HCA +97 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.3 More โ†’ -12.2 (#309) HCA +3.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ -12.3 (#312) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.237 (#289) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -19.2 More โ†’ 0.098 (#312) AdjNet -19.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -19.4 More โ†’ 0.096 (#312) AdjNet -19.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 62.4 | AdjD 73.5 More โ†’ 0.266 (#309) AdjO 62.4 | AdjD 73.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.4 | AdjD 72.0 More โ†’ 0.354 (#293) AdjO 65.4 | AdjD 72.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.214 (#305) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.228 (#301) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 135 | GP 28 More โ†’ 747 (#307) RD 135 | GP 28

2006 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2005-11-18 @ South Florida Bulls L 52 - 69
2005-11-21 @ Florida State Seminoles L 67 - 85
2005-11-26 @ Arizona State Sun Devils L 74 - 86
2005-12-01 @ Sam Houston Bearkats L 50 - 51
2005-12-05 @ Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks L 57 - 75
2005-12-10 @ UAB Blazers L 59 - 81
2005-12-18 @ USC Trojans L 53 - 76
2005-12-20 @ New Mexico Lobos L 75 - 87
2005-12-30 @ Ole Miss Rebels L 69 - 82
2006-01-02 @ Texas Southern Tigers W 84 - 76
2006-01-04 @ Prairie View A&M Panthers W 72 - 64
2006-01-07 vs Jackson State Tigers W 58 - 56
2006-01-09 vs Grambling Tigers L 62 - 65
2006-01-14 @ Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils L 59 - 67
2006-01-16 @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions L 48 - 74
2006-01-21 vs Alabama State Hornets L 70 - 75
2006-01-23 vs Alabama A&M Bulldogs W 77 - 74
2006-01-28 @ Southern Jaguars L 55 - 72
2006-02-04 @ Jackson State Tigers L 67 - 89
2006-02-06 @ Grambling Tigers W 75 - 71
2006-02-11 vs Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils W 78 - 61
2006-02-13 vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions L 62 - 66
2006-02-18 @ Alabama State Hornets L 69 - 71
2006-02-20 @ Alabama A&M Bulldogs L 74 - 84
2006-02-25 vs Southern Jaguars L 57 - 69
2006-03-02 vs Texas Southern Tigers W 84 - 77
2006-03-04 vs Prairie View A&M Panthers W 89 - 70
2006-03-09 @ Southern Jaguars L 52 - 73

2006 Roster

No roster data available for this season.