Model Predictions
| Model | Alcorn State Braves | South Florida Bulls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.7% | 77.3% | +9.4 | ✓ (7.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.8% | 94.2% | +15.3 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.0% | 98.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.8% | 98.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: South Florida Bulls +17 (69-52). Ratings: 2005-06 season-end ratings.
Alcorn State Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Jackson | 36 | 1-10 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Delvin Thompson | 30 | 7-16 | 0-4 | 4-5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 0 | - |
| A. Frazier | 28 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | - |
| C. Douglass | 25 | 3-11 | 1-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | - |
| P. Horton | 22 | 3-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -1 | - |
| J. Kendrick | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| J. Reed | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Wyatt | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Washington | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Jarvis Williams | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| O. Calahan | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
South Florida Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Holmes | 38 | 7-17 | 3-7 | 4-7 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 13 | - |
| M. Mattis | 34 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 25 | - |
| Solomon Jones | 33 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 20 | - |
| M. Buckley | 32 | 3-13 | 1-6 | 6-7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 4 | - |
| C. Capko | 29 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| M. Richardson | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| C. Dennis | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter