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Alcorn State

Also known as: Alcorn State Braves
Program History

Model Outputs

1999-2000
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1005 (#149) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1028 (#144) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +114 elo More → 1083 (#67) HCA +114 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.7 More → -6.5 (#230) HCA +3.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.6 More → -5.4 (#224) HCA +3.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.567 (#124) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -10.3 More → 0.234 (#234) AdjNet -10.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -10.6 More → 0.228 (#234) AdjNet -10.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 66.5 | AdjD 72.2 More → 0.374 (#230) AdjO 66.5 | AdjD 72.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.9 | AdjD 69.8 More → 0.504 (#148) AdjO 69.9 | AdjD 69.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.419 (#188) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.445 (#181) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 138 | GP 27 More → 960 (#181) RD 138 | GP 27

2000 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
1999-11-21 @ Southern Mississippi L 58 - 88
1999-11-26 N Chattanooga W 86 - 80
1999-11-27 @ New Mexico L 58 - 85
1999-11-30 @ Little Rock L 68 - 75
1999-12-11 @ Louisiana State L 64 - 71
1999-12-15 @ Oklahoma State L 53 - 79
1999-12-20 @ Prairie View A&M W 91 - 72
1999-12-22 @ Texas Southern W 70 - 67
1999-12-28 @ Arkansas L 59 - 102
2000-01-03 vs Grambling W 97 - 71
2000-01-05 vs Jackson State W 72 - 63
2000-01-08 @ Mississippi Valley State L 62 - 67
2000-01-10 @ Arkansas–Pine Bluff W 60 - 47
2000-01-15 vs Alabama State W 71 - 55
2000-01-17 vs Alabama A&M W 79 - 70
2000-01-22 @ Southern L 77 - 83
2000-01-29 @ Jackson State L 72 - 73
2000-01-31 @ Grambling W 82 - 61
2000-02-05 vs Mississippi Valley State W 81 - 64
2000-02-07 vs Arkansas–Pine Bluff W 85 - 73
2000-02-12 @ Alabama State W 62 - 60
2000-02-14 @ Alabama A&M W 69 - 65
2000-02-19 vs Southern W 65 - 59
2000-02-26 vs Prairie View A&M W 106 - 96
2000-02-28 vs Texas Southern W 82 - 65
2000-03-09 N Grambling W 94 - 82
2000-03-10 N Jackson State L 60 - 64

2000 Roster

No roster data available for this season.