Alcorn State
Model Outputs
1993-1994
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 663 (#281) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 686 (#290) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 865 (#274) | HCA +119 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -21.8 (#299) | HCA +3.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -20.1 (#297) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.100 (#287) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.041 (#297) | AdjNet -27.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.040 (#297) | AdjNet -27.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.138 (#299) | AdjO 67.7 | AdjD 87.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.239 (#294) | AdjO 70.1 | AdjD 82.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.117 (#295) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.132 (#293) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 640 (#295) | RD 147 | GP 22 |
1994 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1993-11-26 | @ | Memphis | L | 59 - 92 |
| 1993-12-06 | @ | Southern Mississippi | L | 81 - 110 |
| 1993-12-18 | @ | Little Rock | L | 50 - 101 |
| 1993-12-20 | @ | Toledo | L | 53 - 79 |
| 1993-12-29 | N | Louisiana | L | 59 - 96 |
| 1994-01-02 | vs | Little Rock | L | 60 - 81 |
| 1994-01-08 | @ | Grambling | L | 89 - 102 |
| 1994-01-10 | @ | Mississippi Valley State | L | 87 - 93 |
| 1994-01-15 | vs | Alabama State | L | 82 - 89 |
| 1994-01-17 | vs | Jackson State | L | 82 - 110 |
| 1994-01-22 | vs | Texas Southern | L | 67 - 74 |
| 1994-01-24 | vs | Prairie View A&M | W | 92 - 80 |
| 1994-01-29 | vs | Southern | L | 87 - 90 |
| 1994-01-31 | @ | Troy | L | 104 - 114 |
| 1994-02-05 | vs | Grambling | W | 90 - 81 |
| 1994-02-07 | vs | Mississippi Valley State | W | 77 - 71 |
| 1994-02-12 | @ | Alabama State | L | 83 - 95 |
| 1994-02-14 | @ | Jackson State | L | 70 - 107 |
| 1994-02-19 | @ | Texas Southern | L | 62 - 94 |
| 1994-02-21 | @ | Prairie View A&M | L | 83 - 86 |
| 1994-02-26 | @ | Southern | L | 99 - 104 |
| 1994-03-11 | N | Jackson State | L | 53 - 71 |
1994 Roster
No roster data available for this season.