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Alcorn State

Also known as: Alcorn State Braves
Program History

2027 Team Stats (1 games)

58.0
PPG
99.0
Opp
-41.0
Margin
36.5%
FG%
40.0%
3P%
55.6%
FT%
31.0
RPG
14.0
APG
26.0
TO
73.9
Est. poss./game
63.7
Adj PPG
71.9
Adj Opp PPG
#224
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 689 (returning production + recruiting): last season 789, returning -17, transfers -53, freshmen -30 More โ†’ 688 (#349) Preseason prior 689 (returning production + recruiting): last season 789, returning -17, transfers -53, freshmen -30
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 977 (#330) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +268 elo More โ†’ 976 (#125) HCA +268 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +17.4 More โ†’ -11.5 (#341) HCA +17.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +16.1 More โ†’ -12.1 (#224) HCA +16.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.002 (#231) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -54.3 More โ†’ 0.002 (#231) NetEff -54.3
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -17.4 More โ†’ 0.118 (#231) AdjNet -17.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -17.5 More โ†’ 0.114 (#231) AdjNet -17.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 63.7 | AdjD 71.9 More โ†’ 0.322 (#224) AdjO 63.7 | AdjD 71.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 63.7 | AdjD 71.9 More โ†’ 0.322 (#224) AdjO 63.7 | AdjD 71.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.279 (#233) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.279 (#233) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 218 | GP 1 More โ†’ 904 (#124) RD 218 | GP 1

2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-02 @ Ole Miss Rebels L 58 - 99
2026-11-05 vs Howard Bison - Preview
2026-11-10 @ Murray State Racers - Preview

2027 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
C. Sirmans C. Sirmans G 1 24.0 20.0 2.0 6.0 3.0 1.0 7.0 8.0 17.0 - - - - 75.0 80.0 57.1 - 90.3 100.0
Bobby Cannon Bobby Cannon F 1 24.0 14.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 4.0 8.0 6.0 - - - - 62.5 33.3 75.0 - 71.7 68.8
Jahseem Felton Jahseem Felton G 1 24.0 6.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 0.0 - - - - 28.6 50.0 0 - 42.9 42.9
Saxby Sunderland Saxby Sunderland G 1 19.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 -2.0 - - - - 28.6 50.0 33.3 - 36.1 35.7
Josh Powell Josh Powell G 1 15.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 4.0 - - - - 33.3 33.3 50.0 - 51.5 50.0
Jayan Walker Jayan Walker G 1 11.0 4.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 5.0 - - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Jaylin Craine Jaylin Craine G 1 11.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 4.0 - - - - 33.3 50.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Ma'Kye Taylor Ma'Kye Taylor F 1 9.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 -3.0 - - - - 0.0 0.0 50.0 - 12.9 0.0
Ethan Griffin Ethan Griffin G 1 8.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 - - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Christian Richardson Christian Richardson C 1 13.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 -2.0 - - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Braylhan Thomas Braylhan Thomas G 1 14.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 3.0 -3.0 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Nigel Thomas Nigel Thomas F 1 10.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -2.0 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Trey Thomas Trey Thomas G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Adam Tokpah Adam Tokpah F 1 14.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Cameron Zeigler Cameron Zeigler G 1 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -1.0 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026-2027 Shot Zones

52 located field-goal attempts in 1 game (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Cannon50% Cannon67% Sirmans67% Cannon100% Felton100% Sirmans40% Sirmans50%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Sirmans33% Taylor25% Felton50% Sunderland100% Felton50% Cannon100% Felton33% Thomas29% Thomas25%
Misses: who misses most here

C. SirmansBobby CannonJahseem FeltonSaxby SunderlandBraylhan ThomasMa'Kye TaylorNigel Thomas

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 2-5 40.0 4 Bobby Cannon 50% (2 pts) Saxby Sunderland 50% (2 pts) C. Sirmans 33% (1 misses) Ethan Griffin 33% (1 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 3-11 27.3 6 Bobby Cannon 67% (4 pts) Jayan Walker 33% (2 pts) Ma'Kye Taylor 25% (2 misses) Bobby Cannon 12% (1 misses)
Mid-range left 3-7 42.9 6 C. Sirmans 67% (4 pts) Jayan Walker 33% (2 pts) Jahseem Felton 50% (2 misses) Jayan Walker 25% (1 misses)
Mid-range center 0-1 0.0 0 - - Saxby Sunderland 100% (1 misses) -
Mid-range right 1-3 33.3 2 Bobby Cannon 100% (2 pts) - Jahseem Felton 50% (1 misses) Saxby Sunderland 50% (1 misses)
Left corner 3 0-0 - 0 - - - -
Right corner 3 1-2 50.0 3 Jahseem Felton 100% (3 pts) - Bobby Cannon 100% (1 misses) -
Above-break 3 left 5-8 62.5 15 C. Sirmans 40% (6 pts) Bobby Cannon 20% (3 pts) Jahseem Felton 33% (1 misses) Jaylin Craine 33% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 center 0-7 0.0 0 - - Nigel Thomas 29% (2 misses) Bobby Cannon 14% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 right 4-8 50.0 12 C. Sirmans 50% (6 pts) Jahseem Felton 25% (3 pts) Braylhan Thomas 25% (1 misses) Jahseem Felton 25% (1 misses)