Model Predictions
| Model | Alcorn State Braves | Murray State Racers | Spread | Projected |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo
2026-27 ratings to date
|
8.0% (#350) | 92.0% (#137) | Murray ... -17.1 | 67-84 |
| Bradley-Terry
2026-27 ratings to date
|
6.8% (#358) | 93.2% (#138) | - | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
|
10.0% (#362) | 90.0% (#122) | - | - |
| Margin
2026-27 ratings to date
|
7.7% (#342) | 92.3% (#104) | Murray ... -27.4 | - |
| Margin Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
|
7.9% (#342) | 92.1% (#103) | Murray ... -27.1 | - |
| Pythagorean
2026-27 ratings to date
|
3.7% (#337) | 96.3% (#90) | - | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency
2026-27 ratings to date
|
18.1% (#343) | 81.9% (#107) | - | - |
| Log Adjusted
2026-27 ratings to date
|
17.8% (#343) | 82.2% (#108) | - | - |
| Points Off/Def
2026-27 ratings to date
|
6.4% (#354) | 93.6% (#88) | - | - |
| Points Off/Def Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
|
7.8% (#354) | 92.2% (#71) | - | - |
| Core Ensemble
2026-27 ratings to date
|
11.9% (#347) | 88.1% (#112) | - | - |
| Recency Ensemble
2026-27 ratings to date
|
12.3% (#348) | 87.7% (#111) | - | - |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry
2026-27 ratings to date
|
22.7% (#358) | 77.3% (#136) | - | - |
| Adjusted Context Blend | Prior-only ranking with no forecast | |||
2026-27 ratings to date: Spread: 4.6 points per 100 Elo plus a 2.3-point home edge (2025-26 margin fit); projected score: 2025-26's average total of 150 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.
Team Stats Comparison
| Stat | Alcorn State Braves | Murray State Racers |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 2 | 2 |
| PPG | 70.5 | 93.5 |
| FG% | 41.9% | 51.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 38.5% |
| FT% | 58.5% | 77.4% |
| RPG | 28.5 | 36.5 |
| APG | 16.5 | 18.0 |
| SPG | 6.5 | 10.0 |
| BPG | 2.5 | 2.0 |
| TOPG | 18.5 | 15.0 |
Efficiency Ratings
| Metric | Alcorn State Braves | Murray State Racers |
|---|---|---|
| Adj. Off Eff | 92.9 | 105.8 |
| Adj. Def Eff | 107.1 | 94.2 |
| Adj. Net Eff | -14.1 | 11.7 |
Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength
Alcorn State Braves Top Players
| Player | PPG | RPG | APG | SPG | BPG | MPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Thomas | 27.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 33.0 |
| Jahseem Felton | 9.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 26.0 |
| Calvin Sirmans III | 12.0 | 1.5 | 7.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 24.0 |
| Saxby Sunderland | 9.5 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 21.0 |
| Bobby Cannon | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 19.5 |
Murray State Racers Top Players
| Player | PPG | RPG | APG | SPG | BPG | MPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roman Domon | 19.5 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 30.5 |
| Brigham Rogers | 7.0 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 28.0 |
| Brayden Shorter | 21.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 23.0 |
| Christian Jones | 5.0 | 3.5 | 4.5 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 20.0 |
| Talis Soulhac | 8.5 | 2.5 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 19.5 |