Alcorn State
2026-2027 Team Stats (2 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 746 (#316) | Preseason prior 747 (returning production + recruiting): last season 905, returning -99, transfers -60, freshmen +0 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 801 (#334) | HCA +169 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 805 (#334) | HCA +169 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -12.9 (#290) | HCA +1.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -12.8 (#290) | HCA +1.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.034 (#332) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.219 (#297) | AdjNet -13.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.207 (#304) | AdjNet -15.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.244 (#321) | AdjO 56.1 | AdjD 62.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.247 (#321) | AdjO 56.3 | AdjD 62.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.199 (#323) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.200 (#323) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 791 (#325) | RD 222 | GP 1 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.147 (#329) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | @ | Ole Miss Rebels | L | 38 - 80 |
| 2026-11-11 | vs | Mississippi U for Women Owls | W | 91 - 44 |
| 2026-11-18 | @ | Nicholls Colonels | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-20 | @ | Tulane Green Wave | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions and box-score rates; an unlisted position is inferred from those rates, and missing rates are treated as zero. Legend numbers are each player's share of recorded roster minutes, scaled to five players' regulation minutes; they can differ from minutes per game in the roster below, especially when players miss games or coverage is incomplete. Each position column totals one regulation game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jada Morgan
|
G | 2 | 25.0 | 13.0 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.5 | 8.5 | 6.5 | -23 | 1 | -23.0 | -45.5 | 47.1 | 33.3 | 90.0 | -1.06 | 60.7 | 50.0 |
Jazlyn Johnson
|
G | 2 | 25.5 | 10.0 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 7.5 | 8.0 | -36 | 1 | -36.0 | -56.0 | 60.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -4.14 | 66.7 | 66.7 |
Jae'la Smith
|
G | 2 | 22.5 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 11.0 | 5.0 | -17 | 1 | -17.0 | -27.6 | 40.9 | 0.0 | 66.7 | -0.12 | 42.9 | 40.9 |
Lauren Nelson
|
F | 2 | 28.0 | 7.0 | 6.0 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 8.0 | 8.0 | -28 | 1 | -28.0 | -44.0 | 43.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -4.36 | 41.5 | 43.8 |
Dekyra Mitchell
|
G | 2 | 22.5 | 6.5 | 2.5 | 5.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 5.5 | -21 | 1 | -21.0 | -37.8 | 35.7 | 16.7 | 50.0 | -0.66 | 41.2 | 39.3 |
Fatime Seck
|
G | 2 | 17.5 | 5.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | -19 | 1 | -19.0 | -54.5 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -2.01 | 68.8 | 68.8 |
Chrishunti Walker
|
C | 2 | 17.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 6.0 | 3.5 | - | - | - | - | 41.7 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 41.7 | 41.7 |
Arene Iyekekpolor
|
F | 1 | 16.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | -12 | 1 | -12.0 | -30.5 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 50.0 | -2.54 | 69.4 | 75.0 |
Frances Anyakudo
|
G | 2 | 15.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 6.5 | -6 | 1 | -6.0 | -21.8 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -2.3 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
Ariyah Burke
|
G | 2 | 14.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | -14 | 1 | -14.0 | -41.4 | 25.0 | 0 | 25.0 | -3.13 | 26.0 | 25.0 |
Milaan Moore
|
F | 2 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -3 | 1 | -3.0 | -46.5 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.0 | -3.99 | 34.7 | 50.0 |
Jayda Bowen
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Leyah Houston
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
115 located field-goal attempts in 2 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Jazlyn JohnsonJae'la SmithJada MorganLauren NelsonDekyra MitchellFatime SeckChrishunti WalkerArene Iyekekpolor
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 15-20 | 75.0 | 30 | Chrishunti Walker 20% (6 pts) | Jae'la Smith 20% (6 pts) | Lauren Nelson 40% (2 misses) | Chrishunti Walker 20% (1 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 26-46 | 56.5 | 52 | Lauren Nelson 23% (12 pts) | Jada Morgan 15% (8 pts) | Jae'la Smith 25% (5 misses) | Ariyah Burke 15% (3 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 1-5 | 20.0 | 2 | Jada Morgan 100% (2 pts) | - | Jae'la Smith 50% (2 misses) | Chrishunti Walker 25% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 1-5 | 20.0 | 2 | Jae'la Smith 100% (2 pts) | - | Arene Iyekekpolor 25% (1 misses) | Dekyra Mitchell 25% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 2-11 | 18.2 | 4 | Jae'la Smith 50% (2 pts) | Lauren Nelson 50% (2 pts) | Jada Morgan 44% (4 misses) | Dekyra Mitchell 22% (2 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 2-3 | 66.7 | 6 | Jazlyn Johnson 100% (6 pts) | - | Jazlyn Johnson 100% (1 misses) | - |
| Right corner 3 | 0-0 | - | 0 | - | - | - | - |
| Above-break 3 left | 4-10 | 40.0 | 12 | Fatime Seck 50% (6 pts) | Dekyra Mitchell 25% (3 pts) | Dekyra Mitchell 33% (2 misses) | Jae'la Smith 33% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 0-3 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Dekyra Mitchell 33% (1 misses) | Fatime Seck 33% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 2-12 | 16.7 | 6 | Arene Iyekekpolor 50% (3 pts) | Fatime Seck 50% (3 pts) | Dekyra Mitchell 20% (2 misses) | Jada Morgan 20% (2 misses) |