Albany
Model Outputs
2002-2003
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 614 (#314) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 755 (#300) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 882 (#299) | HCA +112 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -13.3 (#304) | HCA +3.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -12.5 (#301) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.169 (#305) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.105 (#302) | AdjNet -18.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.104 (#301) | AdjNet -18.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.245 (#307) | AdjO 63.2 | AdjD 75.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.300 (#311) | AdjO 65.5 | AdjD 74.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.196 (#305) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.205 (#306) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 756 (#300) | RD 147 | GP 28 |
2003 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002-11-22 | @ | Siena | L | 75 - 79 |
| 2002-11-26 | vs | Bucknell | L | 53 - 56 |
| 2002-11-30 | @ | Notre Dame | L | 55 - 90 |
| 2002-12-09 | @ | Army | W | 47 - 43 |
| 2002-12-11 | vs | Long Island University | L | 62 - 78 |
| 2002-12-21 | vs | Robert Morris | W | 69 - 67 |
| 2002-12-23 | vs | Quinnipiac | L | 65 - 78 |
| 2002-12-28 | @ | Syracuse | L | 79 - 109 |
| 2002-12-30 | @ | Lafayette | L | 75 - 83 |
| 2003-01-02 | vs | Colgate | W | 61 - 54 |
| 2003-01-04 | @ | Maine | L | 71 - 90 |
| 2003-01-08 | vs | Boston University | L | 63 - 66 |
| 2003-01-11 | vs | New Hampshire | W | 61 - 58 |
| 2003-01-15 | vs | Vermont | L | 53 - 63 |
| 2003-01-19 | @ | Stony Brook | L | 87 - 92 |
| 2003-01-21 | @ | Binghamton | L | 59 - 86 |
| 2003-01-25 | vs | Dartmouth | W | 85 - 84 |
| 2003-01-29 | @ | Hartford | L | 68 - 80 |
| 2003-02-02 | vs | Northeastern | L | 80 - 89 |
| 2003-02-05 | @ | Boston University | L | 50 - 78 |
| 2003-02-08 | vs | Maine | L | 71 - 82 |
| 2003-02-14 | vs | Stony Brook | W | 82 - 74 |
| 2003-02-16 | @ | New Hampshire | W | 87 - 79 |
| 2003-02-20 | vs | Binghamton | L | 59 - 76 |
| 2003-02-22 | vs | Hartford | L | 53 - 67 |
| 2003-02-26 | @ | Northeastern | L | 54 - 69 |
| 2003-03-02 | @ | Vermont | L | 60 - 69 |
| 2003-03-09 | N | Vermont | L | 62 - 81 |
2003 Roster
No roster data available for this season.