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Albany

Also known as: Albany Great Danes
Program History

Model Outputs

2001-2002
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 655 (#307) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 768 (#294) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More โ†’ 911 (#266) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +4.0 More โ†’ -15.0 (#306) HCA +4.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More โ†’ -14.6 (#306) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.177 (#298) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -21.9 More โ†’ 0.074 (#307) AdjNet -21.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -22.1 More โ†’ 0.073 (#307) AdjNet -22.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 53.6 | AdjD 67.1 More โ†’ 0.226 (#306) AdjO 53.6 | AdjD 67.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 55.5 | AdjD 64.2 More โ†’ 0.312 (#298) AdjO 55.5 | AdjD 64.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.183 (#304) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.197 (#303) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 149 | GP 28 More โ†’ 756 (#298) RD 149 | GP 28

2002 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2001-11-17 vs Lafayette L 72 - 80
2001-11-20 @ Ohio State L 62 - 87
2001-11-24 @ Quinnipiac L 65 - 79
2001-11-27 @ Siena L 48 - 60
2001-12-02 vs Syracuse L 65 - 91
2001-12-05 @ Bucknell W 51 - 50
2001-12-08 @ Yale L 61 - 73
2001-12-11 vs Army L 60 - 68
2001-12-23 @ Robert Morris W 61 - 58
2001-12-31 @ Vermont L 43 - 71
2002-01-02 @ Maine L 52 - 59
2002-01-07 vs Binghamton L 61 - 69
2002-01-13 vs Maine L 66 - 73
2002-01-15 vs Columbia W 41 - 40
2002-01-18 @ Dartmouth L 56 - 77
2002-01-20 @ New Hampshire L 60 - 71
2002-01-24 vs Boston University L 49 - 64
2002-01-26 vs Northeastern W 51 - 50
2002-01-30 vs New Hampshire W 74 - 57
2002-02-02 @ Stony Brook W 65 - 54
2002-02-05 @ Binghamton L 56 - 75
2002-02-08 @ Hartford L 51 - 62
2002-02-10 vs Vermont W 61 - 45
2002-02-12 @ Northeastern L 59 - 79
2002-02-16 @ Boston University L 56 - 68
2002-02-22 vs Hartford W 51 - 48
2002-02-24 vs Stony Brook L 47 - 48
2002-03-02 N Hartford L 49 - 65

2002 Roster

No roster data available for this season.