๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

Alabama

Also known as: Alabama Crimson Tide, Alabama
Program History

Model Outputs

1999-2000
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1066 (#123) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1038 (#138) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +114 elo More โ†’ 965 (#198) HCA +114 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.7 More โ†’ +7.7 (#69) HCA +3.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.6 More โ†’ +6.4 (#80) HCA +3.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.493 (#162) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +10.2 More โ†’ 0.763 (#77) AdjNet +10.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +10.3 More โ†’ 0.768 (#77) AdjNet +10.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 73.9 | AdjD 68.1 More โ†’ 0.630 (#79) AdjO 73.9 | AdjD 68.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.3 | AdjD 68.6 More โ†’ 0.515 (#142) AdjO 69.3 | AdjD 68.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.618 (#107) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.595 (#115) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 133 | GP 29 More โ†’ 1034 (#130) RD 133 | GP 29

2000 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
1999-11-13 N Northern Iowa L 73 - 74
1999-11-14 @ Saint Louis L 70 - 78
1999-11-19 vs Weber State W 81 - 61
1999-11-22 vs Tennessee Tech W 91 - 72
1999-11-26 vs Centenary (LA) W 94 - 72
1999-11-27 vs La Salle W 85 - 70
1999-12-02 vs Samford L 67 - 79
1999-12-11 @ Louisville L 72 - 87
1999-12-18 N Chattanooga W 75 - 51
1999-12-21 vs Alabama A&M W 97 - 74
1999-12-28 N Delaware L 66 - 76
1999-12-30 N UNC Wilmington W 62 - 45
2000-01-05 @ Louisiana State L 66 - 78
2000-01-08 vs Mississippi State W 77 - 74
2000-01-15 @ Georgia L 59 - 75
2000-01-19 vs Arkansas W 73 - 64
2000-01-22 vs Florida L 73 - 77
2000-01-29 vs Mississippi W 96 - 67
2000-02-02 @ Auburn L 63 - 77
2000-02-05 vs Louisiana State L 60 - 93
2000-02-09 @ Arkansas L 66 - 81
2000-02-12 vs Vanderbilt W 77 - 63
2000-02-16 @ Kentucky L 54 - 66
2000-02-19 @ South Carolina L 61 - 82
2000-02-22 vs Auburn W 68 - 64
2000-02-26 vs Tennessee W 80 - 75
2000-03-01 @ Mississippi L 59 - 63
2000-03-04 @ Mississippi State L 70 - 92
2000-03-09 N South Carolina L 59 - 69

2000 Roster

No roster data available for this season.