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Alabama-Huntsville Chargers

Season: 2013
Also known as: Alabama-Huntsville Chargers
Program History

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 838 (#1014) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 873 (#994) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +147 elo More → 996 (#302) HCA +147 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → +9.8 (#425) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -6.2 (#411) HCA +3.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 64.3 | AdjD 66.1 More → 0.459 (#396) AdjO 64.3 | AdjD 66.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.311 (#431) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.328 (#429) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 4 More → 922 (#342) RD 350 | GP 4

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-12 @ North Texas Mean Green W 78 - 75
2012-11-13 @ Kansas State Wildcats L 26 - 87
2012-11-19 @ Cleveland State Vikings L 69 - 71
2012-11-20 @ Bowling Green Falcons L 54 - 68

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
C. Blasi C. Blasi F 2 24.0 9.0 5.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 2.5 0.0 13.0 -48 -6.0 -14.8 0 0 0 -0.72 0 0
R. Mack R. Mack G 2 22.5 7.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 9.5 -29 -3.2 -5.7 0 0 0 -0.56 0 0
J. Smith J. Smith - 2 32.0 6.5 2.5 3.5 0.5 0.0 2.0 0.0 11.0 57 8.1 24.1 0 0 0 0.7 0 0
Z. Campbell Z. Campbell - 2 26.0 3.0 3.5 1.5 1.5 0.5 1.5 0.0 8.5 24 2.7 4.5 0 0 0 0.38 0 0
X. Baldwin X. Baldwin - 2 24.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.5 0.0 1.5 -57 -7.1 -13.2 0 0 0 -0.8 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG