Alabama State
Model Outputs
2002-2003
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 789 (#271) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 901 (#246) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 974 (#198) | HCA +112 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -7.6 (#253) | HCA +3.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -9.1 (#278) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.494 (#169) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.225 (#250) | AdjNet -10.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.221 (#250) | AdjNet -10.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.352 (#252) | AdjO 57.6 | AdjD 64.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.435 (#222) | AdjO 58.7 | AdjD 61.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.314 (#260) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.329 (#258) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 812 (#278) | RD 140 | GP 28 |
2003 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002-11-17 | N | Furman | L | 73 - 74 |
| 2002-11-18 | N | UT Arlington | L | 47 - 59 |
| 2002-11-22 | @ | Alabama | L | 56 - 82 |
| 2002-11-27 | @ | Mississippi | L | 58 - 74 |
| 2002-11-30 | @ | Florida A&M | L | 67 - 68 |
| 2002-12-05 | @ | Georgia State | W | 82 - 77 |
| 2002-12-07 | vs | Troy | L | 71 - 80 |
| 2002-12-21 | vs | Birmingham-Southern | W | 58 - 53 |
| 2002-12-30 | @ | Troy | L | 61 - 81 |
| 2003-01-04 | vs | Jackson State | W | 70 - 58 |
| 2003-01-06 | vs | Grambling | W | 79 - 70 |
| 2003-01-11 | @ | Arkansas–Pine Bluff | W | 43 - 33 |
| 2003-01-13 | @ | Mississippi Valley State | W | 73 - 67 |
| 2003-01-18 | @ | Alabama A&M | W | 53 - 52 |
| 2003-01-25 | vs | Southern | W | 78 - 60 |
| 2003-01-27 | vs | Alcorn State | W | 75 - 49 |
| 2003-02-01 | @ | Prairie View A&M | L | 57 - 63 |
| 2003-02-03 | @ | Texas Southern | L | 52 - 58 |
| 2003-02-08 | vs | Arkansas–Pine Bluff | W | 57 - 33 |
| 2003-02-10 | vs | Mississippi Valley State | L | 78 - 79 |
| 2003-02-15 | vs | Alabama A&M | W | 85 - 74 |
| 2003-02-22 | @ | Southern | L | 54 - 57 |
| 2003-02-24 | @ | Alcorn State | L | 50 - 69 |
| 2003-03-01 | vs | Prairie View A&M | L | 54 - 60 |
| 2003-03-03 | vs | Texas Southern | W | 68 - 64 |
| 2003-03-06 | @ | Jackson State | L | 60 - 70 |
| 2003-03-08 | @ | Grambling | W | 67 - 63 |
| 2003-03-11 | vs | Alcorn State | L | 55 - 58 |
2003 Roster
No roster data available for this season.