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Akron

2011 Team Stats (4 games)

67.8
PPG
63.8
Opp
+4.0
Margin
42.9%
FG%
34.4%
3P%
61.4%
FT%
33.8
RPG
15.3
APG
12.8
TO
-
Est. poss./game
68.2
Adj PPG
65.8
Adj Opp PPG
#130
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2010-2011
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1138 (#96) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1093 (#106) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +91 elo More โ†’ 1103 (#40) HCA +91 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ +2.5 (#132) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ +5.0 (#97) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.598 (#114) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +2.8 More โ†’ 0.579 (#137) AdjNet +2.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +2.7 More โ†’ 0.579 (#137) AdjNet +2.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.2 | AdjD 65.8 More โ†’ 0.554 (#130) AdjO 68.2 | AdjD 65.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.3 | AdjD 64.1 More โ†’ 0.595 (#80) AdjO 68.3 | AdjD 64.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.623 (#105) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.631 (#97) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 107 | GP 33 More โ†’ 1104 (#95) RD 107 | GP 33

2011 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2010-11-12 vs Millikin Big Blue W 89 - 41
2010-11-16 @ Dayton Flyers L 68 - 76
2010-11-20 vs Youngstown State Penguins W 91 - 84
2010-11-24 vs Cleveland State Vikings L 51 - 64
2010-12-01 @ Detroit Mercy Titans W 77 - 69
2010-12-04 @ UIC Flames W 54 - 52
2010-12-12 @ Temple Owls L 47 - 82
2010-12-15 @ Minnesota Golden Gophers L 58 - 66
2010-12-18 vs Bethune-Cookman Wildcats W 77 - 66
2010-12-21 @ Little Rock Trojans W 75 - 61
2010-12-22 vs Stetson Hatters W 72 - 56
2010-12-23 @ Miami Hurricanes L 61 - 69
2010-12-29 vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions W 87 - 60
2011-01-03 vs Oral Roberts Golden Eagles W 84 - 80
2011-01-08 vs Kent State Golden Flashes W 65 - 62
2011-01-12 vs Ohio Bobcats L 70 - 79
2011-01-16 @ Buffalo Bulls L 70 - 73
2011-01-19 @ Miami (OH) Redhawks L 76 - 84
2011-01-22 vs Bowling Green Falcons W 63 - 58
2011-01-26 @ Northern Illinois Huskies L 74 - 83
2011-01-30 vs Central Michigan Chippewas W 63 - 43
2011-02-02 @ Eastern Michigan Eagles L 56 - 60
2011-02-09 vs Western Michigan Broncos W 83 - 71
2011-02-15 @ Bowling Green Falcons W 89 - 54
2011-02-19 vs Creighton Bluejays W 76 - 67
2011-02-23 vs Miami (OH) Redhawks W 72 - 55
2011-02-26 vs Buffalo Bulls W 69 - 60
2011-03-01 @ Ohio Bobcats L 55 - 80
2011-03-04 @ Kent State Golden Flashes L 68 - 79
2011-03-08 vs Eastern Michigan Eagles W 67 - 53
2011-03-10 @ Miami (OH) Redhawks W 82 - 75
2011-03-11 @ Western Michigan Broncos W 79 - 68
2011-03-12 @ Kent State Golden Flashes W 66 - 65
2011-03-18 @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish L 56 - 69

2011 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Nikola Cvetinovic Nikola Cvetinovic F 21 27.1 11.6 7.5 1.7 1.0 0.1 2.1 4.5 15.3 39 23 1.7 3.0 45.7 0.0 71.1 -1.1 109.7 45.7
Brett McKnight Brett McKnight F 20 18.8 10.1 3.0 0.8 0.7 0.1 1.0 3.7 9.8 18 19 0.9 2.2 41.9 27.3 87.5 -0.42 124.0 45.9
Darryl Roberts Darryl Roberts G 21 27.8 9.2 2.8 1.7 0.8 0.0 1.2 2.5 10.7 36 23 1.6 2.6 58.5 51.6 100.0 -1.06 165.6 73.6
Steve McNees Steve McNees G 21 31.1 8.8 2.6 3.0 0.6 0.1 0.9 3.7 10.4 92 23 4.0 5.9 37.2 39.3 64.7 3.05 107.6 51.3
Brett McClanahan Brett McClanahan G 21 24.6 8.5 3.4 1.2 0.9 0.1 0.9 3.2 10.0 82 23 3.6 6.2 31.3 26.1 100.0 1.44 129.3 40.3
Zeke Marshall Zeke Marshall C 21 22.3 7.5 4.8 0.9 0.3 2.6 1.3 2.8 11.9 13 23 0.6 1.2 48.3 0.0 54.3 -1.6 106.9 48.3
Alex Abreu Alex Abreu G 21 19.8 6.6 2.0 3.9 1.1 0.0 2.6 2.4 8.6 38 22 1.7 4.2 38.0 36.0 69.6 0.91 114.8 47.0
Quincy Diggs Quincy Diggs F 21 18.3 6.1 3.3 1.3 0.9 0.1 1.3 2.3 8.0 -37 22 -1.7 -4.9 51.0 33.3 63.2 -3.24 111.6 54.1
Josh Egner Josh Egner F 6 6.3 3.2 1.2 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 1.8 2.8 3 11 0.3 2.8 63.6 0.0 50.0 -1.3 80.0 63.6
Mike Bardo Mike Bardo C 21 11.3 1.6 2.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.7 3.2 28 23 1.2 5.3 57.1 0 50.0 0.74 99.2 57.1
Dakotah Euton Dakotah Euton F 3 3.0 1.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.3 0 7 0.0 0.0 100.0 100.0 0 -2.0 150.0 150.0
Kyle Petersen Kyle Petersen G 4 2.2 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 -1.22 150.0 0.0
C.J. Oldham C.J. Oldham F 4 4.2 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.8 - - - - 0.0 0 0 -1.81 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG