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Akron

Model Outputs

2001-2002
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 865 (#234) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 880 (#249) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More โ†’ 935 (#240) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +4.0 More โ†’ -2.5 (#197) HCA +4.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More โ†’ -1.4 (#179) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.303 (#246) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -6.3 More โ†’ 0.325 (#218) AdjNet -6.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -6.3 More โ†’ 0.325 (#218) AdjNet -6.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 67.6 | AdjD 71.2 More โ†’ 0.419 (#214) AdjO 67.6 | AdjD 71.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.2 | AdjD 72.4 More โ†’ 0.429 (#221) AdjO 69.2 | AdjD 72.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.380 (#222) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.382 (#223) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 133 | GP 30 More โ†’ 866 (#252) RD 133 | GP 30

2002 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2001-11-17 @ Iona W 67 - 64
2001-11-23 N Monmouth L 61 - 64
2001-11-24 N Hampton L 59 - 67
2001-11-25 N Liberty W 90 - 56
2001-11-30 N Oakland L 64 - 71
2001-12-02 N William & Mary L 62 - 74
2001-12-05 vs Western Kentucky L 68 - 78
2001-12-08 @ Buffalo L 60 - 79
2001-12-15 @ Cleveland State L 66 - 79
2001-12-29 N Cincinnati L 57 - 73
2002-01-02 vs Niagara W 80 - 79
2002-01-05 vs Ohio L 57 - 68
2002-01-07 vs Eastern Michigan L 60 - 61
2002-01-12 @ Miami (OH) L 48 - 50
2002-01-16 vs Kent State L 54 - 78
2002-01-19 @ Ball State L 66 - 78
2002-01-23 vs Bowling Green W 87 - 86
2002-01-26 vs Central Michigan W 83 - 73
2002-01-30 @ Ohio W 74 - 73
2002-02-02 vs Buffalo W 89 - 81
2002-02-05 @ Marshall L 63 - 78
2002-02-11 vs Western Michigan L 89 - 94
2002-02-13 @ Toledo L 72 - 77
2002-02-16 @ Eastern Michigan L 76 - 83
2002-02-20 vs Northern Illinois W 88 - 80
2002-02-23 @ Bowling Green L 46 - 76
2002-02-25 @ Kent State L 57 - 67
2002-03-02 vs Marshall L 87 - 104
2002-03-04 @ Western Michigan W 90 - 83
2002-03-07 N Bowling Green L 58 - 60

2002 Roster

No roster data available for this season.