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Akron

Model Outputs

1999-2000
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1080 (#115) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1106 (#95) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +114 elo More โ†’ 987 (#169) HCA +114 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.7 More โ†’ +4.4 (#108) HCA +3.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.6 More โ†’ +0.9 (#152) HCA +3.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.582 (#118) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +4.7 More โ†’ 0.632 (#121) AdjNet +4.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +4.7 More โ†’ 0.631 (#122) AdjNet +4.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 72.4 | AdjD 68.6 More โ†’ 0.587 (#109) AdjO 72.4 | AdjD 68.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 70.4 | AdjD 71.1 More โ†’ 0.484 (#170) AdjO 70.4 | AdjD 71.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.554 (#135) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.533 (#140) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 160 | GP 27 More โ†’ 1028 (#134) RD 160 | GP 27

2000 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
1999-11-23 @ Wyoming L 68 - 84
1999-11-27 vs Illinois State W 89 - 79
1999-11-30 vs Western Kentucky W 75 - 62
1999-12-04 @ Purdue L 66 - 75
1999-12-07 @ Cleveland State W 79 - 72
1999-12-11 vs Northern Illinois W 79 - 56
1999-12-18 @ Rhode Island W 64 - 62
1999-12-21 vs Buffalo W 89 - 67
1999-12-27 @ Florida International L 74 - 76
1999-12-30 vs Oakland W 97 - 72
2000-01-02 vs Western Michigan W 73 - 62
2000-01-05 vs Marshall W 92 - 78
2000-01-08 @ Toledo W 82 - 79
2000-01-11 @ Ohio W 62 - 60
2000-01-15 vs Miami (OH) L 48 - 55
2000-01-19 @ Eastern Michigan W 89 - 81
2000-01-22 vs Kent State W 69 - 64
2000-01-24 @ Buffalo L 83 - 84
2000-01-29 @ Bowling Green L 77 - 88
2000-02-02 vs Central Michigan W 69 - 55
2000-02-05 @ Western Michigan W 89 - 83
2000-02-09 @ Miami (OH) L 60 - 71
2000-02-12 vs Ohio W 81 - 79
2000-02-14 @ Ball State L 68 - 89
2000-02-19 @ Kent State L 54 - 83
2000-02-24 vs Bowling Green L 72 - 73
2000-03-01 vs Central Michigan L 73 - 75

2000 Roster

No roster data available for this season.