Akron
Model Outputs
1998-1999
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1122 (#89) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1127 (#76) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1054 (#82) | HCA +109 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +6.6 (#87) | HCA +3.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +7.7 (#74) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.654 (#89) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.716 (#97) | AdjNet +8.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.718 (#98) | AdjNet +8.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.627 (#90) | AdjO 75.1 | AdjD 69.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.590 (#85) | AdjO 74.2 | AdjD 70.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.664 (#82) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.657 (#79) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1111 (#83) | RD 149 | GP 26 |
1999 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1998-11-20 | @ | Illinois State | L | 69 - 84 |
| 1998-11-23 | vs | Florida International | W | 80 - 69 |
| 1998-11-25 | @ | Western Kentucky | W | 63 - 61 |
| 1998-11-28 | @ | Duquesne | W | 84 - 82 |
| 1998-12-02 | vs | Eastern Michigan | W | 72 - 54 |
| 1998-12-05 | @ | Buffalo | W | 72 - 60 |
| 1998-12-12 | @ | Saint Joseph's | L | 60 - 71 |
| 1998-12-19 | @ | Loyola (IL) | W | 69 - 59 |
| 1998-12-21 | vs | Cleveland State | W | 84 - 59 |
| 1998-12-30 | vs | Toledo | W | 81 - 78 |
| 1999-01-06 | vs | Kent State | L | 90 - 93 |
| 1999-01-09 | vs | Marshall | L | 67 - 76 |
| 1999-01-14 | @ | Bowling Green | L | 57 - 66 |
| 1999-01-16 | @ | Miami (OH) | L | 62 - 80 |
| 1999-01-20 | vs | Ohio | W | 94 - 87 |
| 1999-01-23 | vs | Northern Illinois | W | 69 - 47 |
| 1999-01-27 | @ | Ball State | W | 93 - 83 |
| 1999-01-30 | @ | Central Michigan | W | 94 - 86 |
| 1999-02-03 | vs | Western Michigan | W | 80 - 59 |
| 1999-02-10 | @ | Eastern Michigan | W | 74 - 45 |
| 1999-02-13 | @ | Kent State | L | 82 - 92 |
| 1999-02-15 | @ | Northern Illinois | W | 70 - 55 |
| 1999-02-17 | vs | Bowling Green | W | 71 - 65 |
| 1999-02-20 | vs | Ball State | W | 74 - 68 |
| 1999-02-24 | @ | Ohio | L | 64 - 85 |
| 1999-02-27 | vs | Bowling Green | L | 74 - 80 |
1999 Roster
No roster data available for this season.