๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

Akron

Model Outputs

1998-1999
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1122 (#89) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1127 (#76) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More โ†’ 1054 (#82) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.9 More โ†’ +6.6 (#87) HCA +3.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More โ†’ +7.7 (#74) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.654 (#89) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +8.0 More โ†’ 0.716 (#97) AdjNet +8.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +8.1 More โ†’ 0.718 (#98) AdjNet +8.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 75.1 | AdjD 69.4 More โ†’ 0.627 (#90) AdjO 75.1 | AdjD 69.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 74.2 | AdjD 70.2 More โ†’ 0.590 (#85) AdjO 74.2 | AdjD 70.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.664 (#82) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.657 (#79) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 149 | GP 26 More โ†’ 1111 (#83) RD 149 | GP 26

1999 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
1998-11-20 @ Illinois State L 69 - 84
1998-11-23 vs Florida International W 80 - 69
1998-11-25 @ Western Kentucky W 63 - 61
1998-11-28 @ Duquesne W 84 - 82
1998-12-02 vs Eastern Michigan W 72 - 54
1998-12-05 @ Buffalo W 72 - 60
1998-12-12 @ Saint Joseph's L 60 - 71
1998-12-19 @ Loyola (IL) W 69 - 59
1998-12-21 vs Cleveland State W 84 - 59
1998-12-30 vs Toledo W 81 - 78
1999-01-06 vs Kent State L 90 - 93
1999-01-09 vs Marshall L 67 - 76
1999-01-14 @ Bowling Green L 57 - 66
1999-01-16 @ Miami (OH) L 62 - 80
1999-01-20 vs Ohio W 94 - 87
1999-01-23 vs Northern Illinois W 69 - 47
1999-01-27 @ Ball State W 93 - 83
1999-01-30 @ Central Michigan W 94 - 86
1999-02-03 vs Western Michigan W 80 - 59
1999-02-10 @ Eastern Michigan W 74 - 45
1999-02-13 @ Kent State L 82 - 92
1999-02-15 @ Northern Illinois W 70 - 55
1999-02-17 vs Bowling Green W 71 - 65
1999-02-20 vs Ball State W 74 - 68
1999-02-24 @ Ohio L 64 - 85
1999-02-27 vs Bowling Green L 74 - 80

1999 Roster

No roster data available for this season.