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Akron

Model Outputs

1997-1998
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1095 (#104) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1071 (#104) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More โ†’ 1061 (#78) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.7 More โ†’ +6.6 (#82) HCA +3.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.5 More โ†’ +4.9 (#101) HCA +3.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.732 (#45) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +9.8 More โ†’ 0.755 (#84) AdjNet +9.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +9.9 More โ†’ 0.758 (#84) AdjNet +9.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 71.9 | AdjD 65.7 More โ†’ 0.637 (#82) AdjO 71.9 | AdjD 65.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.5 | AdjD 67.9 More โ†’ 0.581 (#90) AdjO 71.5 | AdjD 67.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.664 (#80) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.654 (#79) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 149 | GP 26 More โ†’ 1059 (#120) RD 149 | GP 26

1998 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
1997-11-22 @ Xavier L 73 - 97
1997-11-29 @ George Mason W 82 - 53
1997-12-03 vs Saint Joseph's L 62 - 65
1997-12-06 @ Florida International L 90 - 101
1997-12-15 vs Loyola (IL) W 81 - 52
1997-12-17 @ Cleveland State L 67 - 78
1997-12-20 @ Ohio W 69 - 55
1997-12-29 vs Marshall W 68 - 52
1997-12-31 vs Duquesne W 72 - 62
1998-01-03 @ Ball State L 67 - 70
1998-01-05 @ Northern Illinois L 64 - 66
1998-01-08 vs Central Michigan W 76 - 49
1998-01-10 vs Western Michigan L 83 - 89
1998-01-14 @ Miami (OH) W 64 - 51
1998-01-17 vs Bowling Green W 84 - 75
1998-01-24 @ Kent State W 93 - 68
1998-01-29 @ Western Michigan L 63 - 77
1998-01-31 @ Central Michigan L 77 - 79
1998-02-05 vs Eastern Michigan W 69 - 67
1998-02-07 vs Toledo W 73 - 56
1998-02-11 @ Bowling Green W 82 - 80
1998-02-14 vs Miami (OH) W 74 - 63
1998-02-19 vs Kent State W 68 - 51
1998-02-23 vs Ohio W 86 - 65
1998-02-25 @ Marshall W 65 - 62
1998-02-28 vs Kent State L 88 - 95

1998 Roster

No roster data available for this season.