๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

Akron

Model Outputs

1996-1997
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 881 (#209) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 862 (#236) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +127 elo More โ†’ 918 (#245) HCA +127 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.9 More โ†’ +0.6 (#147) HCA +3.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.9 More โ†’ +2.0 (#121) HCA +3.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.414 (#183) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -1.8 More โ†’ 0.447 (#164) AdjNet -1.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -1.7 More โ†’ 0.450 (#163) AdjNet -1.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 67.4 | AdjD 67.5 More โ†’ 0.498 (#155) AdjO 67.4 | AdjD 67.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 66.7 | AdjD 66.2 More โ†’ 0.512 (#137) AdjO 66.7 | AdjD 66.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.438 (#180) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.441 (#181) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 151 | GP 25 More โ†’ 865 (#225) RD 151 | GP 25

1997 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
1996-11-25 vs Cleveland State L 63 - 71
1996-11-30 @ Duquesne L 55 - 71
1996-12-05 @ UC Santa Barbara L 58 - 65
1996-12-06 N Rider L 65 - 68
1996-12-15 @ Canisius L 48 - 69
1996-12-21 vs Xavier L 111 - 113
1996-12-29 vs George Mason W 99 - 86
1997-01-04 @ Miami (OH) L 51 - 84
1997-01-08 vs Toledo W 80 - 75
1997-01-11 @ Ohio L 64 - 67
1997-01-13 vs Bowling Green L 79 - 81
1997-01-16 @ Western Michigan W 66 - 60
1997-01-18 vs Ball State W 83 - 68
1997-01-22 @ Central Michigan W 83 - 66
1997-01-25 @ Kent State L 54 - 67
1997-01-29 vs Eastern Michigan L 76 - 79
1997-02-01 @ Toledo L 65 - 69
1997-02-05 vs Ohio L 67 - 71
1997-02-08 @ Bowling Green L 78 - 103
1997-02-10 @ Western Michigan L 63 - 70
1997-02-15 @ Ball State L 57 - 64
1997-02-19 vs Central Michigan W 98 - 55
1997-02-24 vs Kent State W 71 - 51
1997-02-26 @ Eastern Michigan L 75 - 76
1997-03-01 vs Miami (OH) L 52 - 66

1997 Roster

No roster data available for this season.