Akron
Model Outputs
1996-1997
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 881 (#209) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 862 (#236) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 918 (#245) | HCA +127 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +0.6 (#147) | HCA +3.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +2.0 (#121) | HCA +3.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.414 (#183) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.447 (#164) | AdjNet -1.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.450 (#163) | AdjNet -1.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.498 (#155) | AdjO 67.4 | AdjD 67.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.512 (#137) | AdjO 66.7 | AdjD 66.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.438 (#180) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.441 (#181) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 865 (#225) | RD 151 | GP 25 |
1997 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1996-11-25 | vs | Cleveland State | L | 63 - 71 |
| 1996-11-30 | @ | Duquesne | L | 55 - 71 |
| 1996-12-05 | @ | UC Santa Barbara | L | 58 - 65 |
| 1996-12-06 | N | Rider | L | 65 - 68 |
| 1996-12-15 | @ | Canisius | L | 48 - 69 |
| 1996-12-21 | vs | Xavier | L | 111 - 113 |
| 1996-12-29 | vs | George Mason | W | 99 - 86 |
| 1997-01-04 | @ | Miami (OH) | L | 51 - 84 |
| 1997-01-08 | vs | Toledo | W | 80 - 75 |
| 1997-01-11 | @ | Ohio | L | 64 - 67 |
| 1997-01-13 | vs | Bowling Green | L | 79 - 81 |
| 1997-01-16 | @ | Western Michigan | W | 66 - 60 |
| 1997-01-18 | vs | Ball State | W | 83 - 68 |
| 1997-01-22 | @ | Central Michigan | W | 83 - 66 |
| 1997-01-25 | @ | Kent State | L | 54 - 67 |
| 1997-01-29 | vs | Eastern Michigan | L | 76 - 79 |
| 1997-02-01 | @ | Toledo | L | 65 - 69 |
| 1997-02-05 | vs | Ohio | L | 67 - 71 |
| 1997-02-08 | @ | Bowling Green | L | 78 - 103 |
| 1997-02-10 | @ | Western Michigan | L | 63 - 70 |
| 1997-02-15 | @ | Ball State | L | 57 - 64 |
| 1997-02-19 | vs | Central Michigan | W | 98 - 55 |
| 1997-02-24 | vs | Kent State | W | 71 - 51 |
| 1997-02-26 | @ | Eastern Michigan | L | 75 - 76 |
| 1997-03-01 | vs | Miami (OH) | L | 52 - 66 |
1997 Roster
No roster data available for this season.