Akron
Model Outputs
1992-1993
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 782 (#247) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 776 (#271) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 866 (#278) | HCA +108 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -8.9 (#237) | HCA +3.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -8.3 (#231) | HCA +3.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.268 (#239) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.169 (#250) | AdjNet -13.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.168 (#249) | AdjNet -13.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.313 (#245) | AdjO 60.4 | AdjD 69.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.349 (#250) | AdjO 62.8 | AdjD 69.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.238 (#260) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.244 (#262) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 742 (#279) | RD 149 | GP 24 |
1993 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1992-12-04 | @ | Mississippi Valley State | L | 81 - 93 |
| 1992-12-09 | @ | Penn State | L | 50 - 56 |
| 1992-12-12 | vs | Youngstown State | W | 82 - 66 |
| 1992-12-21 | vs | Northern Illinois | W | 62 - 57 |
| 1992-12-28 | N | Wagner | L | 60 - 76 |
| 1993-01-02 | @ | Youngstown State | W | 65 - 59 |
| 1993-01-06 | vs | Bowling Green | W | 53 - 51 |
| 1993-01-09 | vs | Miami (OH) | L | 46 - 51 |
| 1993-01-13 | @ | Eastern Michigan | W | 62 - 57 |
| 1993-01-16 | vs | Western Michigan | L | 64 - 67 |
| 1993-01-20 | @ | Toledo | L | 71 - 87 |
| 1993-01-23 | vs | Ohio | L | 58 - 65 |
| 1993-01-27 | @ | Kent State | L | 45 - 61 |
| 1993-01-30 | vs | Central Michigan | L | 62 - 64 |
| 1993-02-03 | @ | Ball State | L | 50 - 60 |
| 1993-02-06 | @ | Miami (OH) | L | 46 - 58 |
| 1993-02-10 | vs | Eastern Michigan | L | 69 - 79 |
| 1993-02-13 | @ | Western Michigan | L | 44 - 60 |
| 1993-02-17 | vs | Toledo | L | 67 - 75 |
| 1993-02-20 | @ | Ohio | L | 67 - 75 |
| 1993-02-24 | vs | Kent State | L | 75 - 76 |
| 1993-02-27 | @ | Central Michigan | L | 59 - 75 |
| 1993-03-03 | vs | Ball State | W | 83 - 70 |
| 1993-03-06 | @ | Bowling Green | L | 58 - 76 |
1993 Roster
No roster data available for this season.