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Akron

Model Outputs

1992-1993
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 782 (#247) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 776 (#271) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +108 elo More โ†’ 866 (#278) HCA +108 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.7 More โ†’ -8.9 (#237) HCA +3.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.6 More โ†’ -8.3 (#231) HCA +3.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.268 (#239) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -13.8 More โ†’ 0.169 (#250) AdjNet -13.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -13.9 More โ†’ 0.168 (#249) AdjNet -13.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 60.4 | AdjD 69.0 More โ†’ 0.313 (#245) AdjO 60.4 | AdjD 69.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 62.8 | AdjD 69.7 More โ†’ 0.349 (#250) AdjO 62.8 | AdjD 69.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.238 (#260) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.244 (#262) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 149 | GP 24 More โ†’ 742 (#279) RD 149 | GP 24

1993 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
1992-12-04 @ Mississippi Valley State L 81 - 93
1992-12-09 @ Penn State L 50 - 56
1992-12-12 vs Youngstown State W 82 - 66
1992-12-21 vs Northern Illinois W 62 - 57
1992-12-28 N Wagner L 60 - 76
1993-01-02 @ Youngstown State W 65 - 59
1993-01-06 vs Bowling Green W 53 - 51
1993-01-09 vs Miami (OH) L 46 - 51
1993-01-13 @ Eastern Michigan W 62 - 57
1993-01-16 vs Western Michigan L 64 - 67
1993-01-20 @ Toledo L 71 - 87
1993-01-23 vs Ohio L 58 - 65
1993-01-27 @ Kent State L 45 - 61
1993-01-30 vs Central Michigan L 62 - 64
1993-02-03 @ Ball State L 50 - 60
1993-02-06 @ Miami (OH) L 46 - 58
1993-02-10 vs Eastern Michigan L 69 - 79
1993-02-13 @ Western Michigan L 44 - 60
1993-02-17 vs Toledo L 67 - 75
1993-02-20 @ Ohio L 67 - 75
1993-02-24 vs Kent State L 75 - 76
1993-02-27 @ Central Michigan L 59 - 75
1993-03-03 vs Ball State W 83 - 70
1993-03-06 @ Bowling Green L 58 - 76

1993 Roster

No roster data available for this season.