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Akron

Model Outputs

1989-1990
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 980 (#154) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1025 (#133) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +128 elo More โ†’ 1001 (#140) HCA +128 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +4.1 More โ†’ -1.2 (#159) HCA +4.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +4.0 More โ†’ -2.6 (#175) HCA +4.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.528 (#129) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -1.1 More โ†’ 0.467 (#152) AdjNet -1.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -1.2 More โ†’ 0.466 (#152) AdjNet -1.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 67.1 | AdjD 68.0 More โ†’ 0.478 (#156) AdjO 67.1 | AdjD 68.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.4 | AdjD 70.6 More โ†’ 0.473 (#162) AdjO 69.4 | AdjD 70.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.468 (#157) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.467 (#158) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 150 | GP 26 More โ†’ 969 (#164) RD 150 | GP 26

1990 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
1989-11-25 @ Louisiana Tech L 60 - 73
1989-12-01 vs Wagner W 67 - 54
1989-12-02 vs New Orleans W 63 - 53
1989-12-04 vs Middle Tennessee L 61 - 64
1989-12-06 @ Kent State L 52 - 77
1989-12-11 vs Ohio W 66 - 60
1989-12-19 vs South Carolina State W 85 - 59
1990-01-03 @ Cleveland State L 66 - 83
1990-01-06 @ Youngstown State W 90 - 61
1990-01-10 vs Green Bay W 66 - 52
1990-01-13 vs Louisiana Tech L 70 - 75
1990-01-15 vs Wright State W 80 - 66
1990-01-20 @ Western Michigan W 80 - 76
1990-01-22 vs U.S. International W 92 - 80
1990-01-24 @ Kansas State L 60 - 84
1990-01-27 @ Central Michigan W 62 - 60
1990-01-31 @ Bowling Green L 71 - 77
1990-02-03 vs Youngstown State W 71 - 68
1990-02-05 @ Middle Tennessee L 76 - 80
1990-02-10 vs UCF W 77 - 65
1990-02-17 vs Southern Utah W 96 - 86
1990-02-19 vs Northern Illinois W 69 - 55
1990-02-21 @ Green Bay L 59 - 73
1990-02-24 @ Wright State L 77 - 96
1990-03-01 @ Southern Utah L 83 - 91
1990-03-03 @ U.S. International L 77 - 90

1990 Roster

No roster data available for this season.